huang4900 发表于 2019-6-10 18:39:53

逻辑10套的一个题目

The organizers of tomorrow's outdoor concert announced that it will go on tomorrow on schedule unless bad weather is forecast or too few advance tickets are sold. If the concert is canceled, refunds will be made to ticket holders. Since some ticket holders have already been issued refunds even though more than enough advance tickets were sold, it must be the case that bad weather is forecast.

Which of the following is an error of reasoning con- tained in the argument?
(A) It proceeds as if a condition, which by itself is enough to guarantee a certain result, is the only condition under which that result would occur.

请问大神,这个漏洞是因为音乐会被取消 是 音乐会退票的充分不必要条件吧?

RyanGT 发表于 2019-6-10 22:51:09

坏天气+预售太少———演唱会取消退票,但是并没有说明没有其他原因会不会导致退票

huang4900 发表于 2019-6-10 22:58:04

本帖最后由 huang4900 于 2019-6-10 23:03 编辑

RyanGT 发表于 2019-6-10 22:51 static/image/common/back.gif
坏天气+预售太少———演唱会取消退票,但是并没有说明没有其他原因会不会导致退票

逻辑是:坏天气or预售不足---演唱会取消----退票

结论: 退票--(排除了预售不足)---肯定是天气不好

中间环节: 退票 ---一定是因为演唱会取消 (感觉是这里的漏洞)。 因为感觉太subtle 所以想拿出来问问大家的意见

所以证实了我的想法还是正常的。谢谢


ETS的人逻辑太缜密了吧  ,好聪明的一群生意人

huang4900 发表于 2019-6-11 17:39:01

请问选项里面的it proceeds 怎么理解呢?

RyanGT 发表于 2019-6-11 18:44:14

可以理解为以某种方式展开逻辑,韦氏里面相关的意思是行进;进展,根据具体语境扩展下
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