Argument100 [OB小组] 第10次作文_是否应扩建厂
Argument100 The following appeared in a memo from the chief operating officer of the Presto Manufacturing Company."Since orders for our major product increased by over 200 percent last quarter, we should promptly expand production by building a new manufacturing plant in Summit City. Summit City is the ideal location for the new plant because it has low property taxes, extensive blocks of land available for immediate purchase, and a large number of residents who are not currently employed."
提纲：
(1) order的增长并不一定要求build a new plant.
A．作者并没有提供任何资料证明目前的设施不足以完成现有的订单并且途径不只有一个。
B. 200%的增长是last quarter,并不能反映以后也有同样的需求，所以可能导致新建的厂闲置。
(2)厂房地址的选择是否理想存有疑问
A.仅仅有low property taxes, extensive blocks of land available, unemployed residents是不够的，建厂房including whether there is a convenient local transportation system, whether the local laws and regulations have any restrictions on the produce of this product, the local government may not sanction its establishment.
B.虽然存在很多人没被雇用，但其中的人多少能够满足该厂生产需要具备的素质仍然不清楚。
可能要求特定的技巧知识，或是能做体力活的等方面。
正文：
In this memo, the chief operating officer of the Presto Manufacturing Company claims that a new manufacturing plant in Summit City should be built to expand production, based on the increased orders for their major products last quarter and the taxes, land, the number of residents unemployed of Summit City. On several grounds, this evidence lends little credible support for the memo’s conclusion.
Firstly, the fact that orders for the mayor products of the manufacturing company increased by 200% last quarter doesn’t necessarily result to the demand of building a new plant. On the one hand, the author doesn’t provide any information that the productivity of the company is so limited that they can’t complete the increasing orders. Perhaps the base of the increasing orders is so small that the company can manage them. Or perhaps they can improve the productivity of the present factory by enrolling more workers, or purchasing more equipments etc. These methods may cost less than building a new factory. On the other hand, the increasing situation last quarter doesn’t indicate that the future’s orders will remain increasing or at least not dropping. If the orders dwindle the next quarter or even for a longer time resulting from the unsteady market, the factory newly-built could be laid aside to waste a large number of money and resources on the contrary.
Second, even if the company needs to build a new plant to expand their production, Summit City isn’t essentially the ideal location. The author overlooks the equally important factors including whether there is a convenient local transportation system, whether the local laws and regulations have any restrictions on the production of this product if the production process bring severe pollution to the area etc. when low property taxes, extensive blocks of land available for immediate purchase, and a large number of residents unemployed appears to be ideal. Additionally, although the problem of unemployment is serious, there is no clear material showing that how many residents satisfy the requirement of the company. Maybe the main groups in Summit City are the old or the children, while the employees the factory need can do some heavy activities.
In sum, the conclusion lacks credibility because the evidence cited in the analysis does not lend strong support to what the arguer maintains. To make clear whether it is wise to build a new factory, in my view, it is essential to forecast the change trend of the orders scientifically, and carry out investigation and study the whole condition of Summit City to consider whether it is a real ideal location.
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