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本帖最后由 ee_stone 于 2015-2-12 00:25 编辑
50. An ancient, traditional remedy for insomnia—the scent of lavender flowers—has now been proved effective. In a recent study, 30 volunteers with chronic insomnia slept each night for three weeks on lavender-scented pillows in a controlled room where their sleep was monitored electronically. During the first week, volunteers continued to take their usual sleeping medication. They slept soundly but wakened feeling tired. At the beginning of the second week, the volunteers discontinued their sleeping medication. During that week, they slept less soundly than the previous week and felt even more tired. During the third week, the volunteers slept longer and more soundly than in the previous two weeks. Therefore, the study proves that lavender cures insomnia within a short period of time.
Write a response in which you discuss what specific evidence is needed to evaluate the argument and explain how the evidence would weaken or strengthen the argument.
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Based on a seemingly well controlled experiments, the statement claims the effectiveness of the scent of lavender flowers to cure insomnia. The duration and soundness of volunteers' sleep are kept and compared in the experiment. However, to evaluate the soundness of the argument, we need to collect more evidence of the experiment, about the activities of the volunteers during the day time, their sleep in daily lives before the experiment, and their status in the following weeks.
Firstly, there is no description of the activities the volunteers do during the day time in the experiment, which is quite important to the validity of the claim. As we all know, after doing some sports, people will feel more tired and have sounder sleep during the night. On the contrary, taking exams or watching horrifying movies usually make people feel nervous and more difficult to fall asleep. If volunteers watch the Saws everyday in the second week, and play basketball for one hour everyday in the third week, the improvement of the quality of sleep may not be attributed to the magic lavender flowers. Thus, as the essential information, what volunteers do during the day time should be kept and presented in more details, so that we can preclude the potential impact of these activities on the sleep status.
Moreover, the quality of sleep in volunteers' daily lives should be studied so that we can build a baseline for the comparison in the experiment. In the argument, the comparison is only among the data of three weeks during the experiment, which can only provides the ideas on how the sleep is improved relatively. If the volunteers sleep longer than previous two week but still shorter than in their daily lives, we still can't claim the scent helps to cure insomnia.
Last but not least, the statement only shows the status of sleep of two weeks after the scent of lavender flower replaces the medication, which is not enough to claim that the insomnia is cured. There are some cases in which when the body gets used to a scent, the magical effect just disappears. We may need more data for the following weeks during which volunteers use lavender pillow instead of sleeping medication, to see if the improvement of sleep maintains or disappears, so that we can further tell if lavender flower can take the place of the medication.
In summary, the statement needs more information about the activities of volunteers, their previous sleeping status, and data in the following weeks to corroborate the claim. Otherwise, the claim is not solid enough. |
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