Argument 72 downsizing has caused economic hardship among workers or not

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1 抄题

72. The following appeared as a letter to the editor of a national newspaper.

"Your recent article on corporate downsizing* in Elthyria maintains that the majority of competent workers who have lost jobs as a result of downsizing face serious economic hardship, often for years, before finding other suitable employment. But this claim is undermined by a recent report on the Elthyrian economy, which found that since 1999 far more jobs have been created than have been eliminated, bringing the unemployment rate in Elthyria to its lowest level in decades. Moreover, two-thirds of these newly created jobs have been in industries that tend to pay above-average wages, and the vast majority of these jobs are full-time."

*Downsizing is the process whereby corporations deliberately make themselves smaller, reducing the number of their employees.

Write a response in which you discuss what specific evidence is needed to evaluate the argument and explain how the evidence would weaken or strengthen the argument.

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2 列出argument的结论和主要证据
claim或结论：Your recent article on corporate downsizing* in Elthyria maintains that the majority of competent workers who have lost jobs as a result of downsizing face serious economic hardship, often for years, before finding other suitable employment. But this claim is undermined.

证据01 a recent report on the Elthyrian economy, which found that since 1999 far more jobs have been created than have been eliminated, bringing the unemployment rate in Elthyria to its lowest level in decades.   
证据02 two-thirds of these newly created jobs have been in industries that tend to pay above-average wages.
证据03 the vast majority of these jobs are full-time

3写第一段
写第一段的第一部分不包括主旨句
In this letter, the author denies a national newspaper’s report that it takes several years for most of the Elthyrian competent workers who are unemployed due to the company downsizing to hunt appropriate jobs and they suffer from financial difficulties during the jobless time. To buttress her conclusion, the writer mainly cites an Elthyrian economic report, which points out that there are more local jobs than those before 1999, Elthyria is experiencing a lowest unemployment rate within decades, two thirds of the salaries of the workers in the new positions are higher than the mean, and these new jobs are mainly full-time.

作者是否完整概括主要的证据及结论？是  


写第一段的第二部分-主旨句
To decide whether the argument of the letter is acceptable, the reader needs more evidence on the number of net disappeared jobs before 1999, the proportion of the competent workers in the unemployed persons, the economic situations of the men out of work, and how the new full-time jobs are suitable for the jobless persons.

作者是否准确回应题目？是
作者是否概括后面要讨论的内容？ 是


4 写出中间段的主题句（英语）用汉语解释主要讨论的点
中间第一段
输入本段重点回应的原题目相关内容 （系统列出题目的主要句子供选择）
a recent report on the Elthyrian economy, which found that since 1999 far more jobs have been created than have been eliminated, bringing the unemployment rate in Elthyria to its lowest level in decades.
输入这段要处理的主要evidence

To begin with, the author should provide the evidence about the net lost working (work) opportunities before the year of 1999. 作者只是说1999年以后，Elthyria的岗位数是净增加了，没有提及1999年之前的工作数。

写出相关的其他可能性
也许1999年之前的Elthyria的岗位数是净减少了，而且减少的总岗位数还多于1999年以后的岗位净增加数。
写出这种可能性的后果
那么合在一起，Elthyria总的工作数还是减少了，Elthyria失业率的减少就不能归功于工作数的增多，也许是退休人口增加、居民向外地移民等因素造成的，报纸说当地工人花几年时间才能重新的就业，也算不得假。


作者提出的假设、证据或解释是否恰当？否
或许也可以说要了解downsizing发生在什么时候  
我不觉得这个点可以写一整段出来 最多只是一个很minor的点

作者提出的其他可能性是否恰当？ n/a

作者关于这种可能性的推论是否合理？ n/a


中间第二段
输入本段重点回应的原题目相关内容 （系统列出题目的主要句子供选择）
bringing the unemployment rate in Elthyria to its lowest level in decades.
输入这段要处理的主要evidence
Even if the net rise of the number of local jobs creates a lowest unemployment rate, the next evidence how jobless workers are competent is needed.

the next evidence how jobless workers are competent is needed 这句话表达很有问题


写出相关的其他可能性
哪怕现在的失业率的确是几十年来最低，但可能失业的恰恰就是因裁员而诞生的competent workers，而非其他那些没多少技能却能在技术含量较低的领域里找到工作的人。
写出这种可能性的后果
原先报纸说大多数当地失业competent workers花几年找工作，依旧成立。

非其他那些没多少技能却能在技术含量较低的领域里找到工作的人 这是一种可能性 而不是作为事实提出 结合原题 新产生的工作应该不是技术含量低的

作者提出的假设、证据或解释是否恰当？是
作者提出的其他可能性是否恰当？是
作者关于这种可能性的推论是否合理？是


中间第三段
输入本段重点回应的原题目相关内容 （系统列出题目的主要句子供选择）
two-thirds of these newly created jobs have been in industries that tend to pay above-average wages
输入这段要处理的主要evidence
What is more, the arguer should present evidence to show that the high wages of the newly created positions can protect the workers from potential financial hardship due to the unemployment.
写出相关的其他可能性
新工作的工资高，不一定其员工被裁掉后，找工作那几年经济就不拮据，因为他们在有工作时消费也许很高，存款也许很少。而且被裁掉不一定是这些新岗位上的员工，老岗位那些低薪员工被裁掉后，就算之前努力存钱，失业后手头还是很紧的。
写出这种可能性的后果
如此一来，原报道关于serious economic hardship的内容依旧成立。

作者提出的假设、证据或解释是否恰当？否

这里的核心问题是失业的人有没有找到工作 其次是找到的工作是否比以前的better-paid


作者提出的其他可能性是否恰当？n/a
作者关于这种可能性的推论是否合理？ n/a  



中间第四段
输入本段重点回应的原题目相关内容 （系统列出题目的主要句子供选择）
the vast majority of these jobs are full-time
输入这段要处理的主要evidence
Finally, readers need the evidence about how the full-time jobs are suitable for these competent unemployed persons.  
写出相关的其他可能性
也许这些新全职工作并不适合下岗的人，例如一个出色的计算机工程师下岗了，他想找一份有关IT业的工作，结果当地几年内正在大力征召得力的电焊工、建筑师等。
写出这种可能性的后果
那么competent workers还是要花上很长时间去找到适合自己的新工作。

作者提出的假设、证据或解释是否恰当？是
作者提出的其他可能性是否恰当？是
作者关于这种可能性的推论是否合理？是