【kaleidoscope】小组第三次作业 Argument7 by Azoi

azoiUID：2636348

7.The following appeared in a letter to the editor of the Clearview newspaper.
"In the next mayoral election, residents of Clearview should vote for Ann Green, who is a member of the Good Earth Coalition, rather than for Frank Braun, a member of the Clearview town council, because the current members are not protecting our environment. For example, during the past year the number of factories in Clearview has doubled, air pollution levels have increased, and the local hospital has treated 25 percent more patients with respiratory illnesses. If we elect Ann Green, the environmental problems in Clearview will certainly be solved."

F1:空气污染和呼吸道疾病不一定是由工厂数量增加造成，空气恶化有可能是周围城镇发展工业的结果
F2:就算工厂增加导致环境恶化，FB作为town council的一员并不一定不环保，council决策由大家制定，可能其他人的建议占主导
F3:AG当选之后不一定能采取有效措施保护环境，作者并没有给出AG当选之后的政策，我们也不知道AG的能力和可信度，所以不能急于下结论


The author of the letter advocated that we should vote for Ann Green rather than Frank Braun in the mayoral election in Clearview. To support his contention, the author listed several reasons mainly referring to the distinct behaviors of the two candidates in environmental aspect. However, under a close look of the author's evidences and reasoning processes, we could find several fallacies which would render the article rather unpersuasive.
  To start with, the author points out that the number of factories in Clearview town has doubled during the past years, then rashly conclude that it is the cause of a degenerated air condition and an increased number of respiratory illnesses. Unfortunately, the author is unable to rule out other possibilities may lead to the same consequences. It is entirely possible that the phenomena are resulted from the industrial development of adjacent towns, which could bring the polluted air to Clearview via winds. Or perhaps the air is polluted by car exhausts as the local traffic develops
  Secondly, even assuming the construction of factories is the very reason for the polluted environment in Clearview, it's absolutely unfair to speculate Frank Braun is not in favor of environment protection. As we known, he is just a member, not the leader, of the town council. There's much possibility that the policies were made by those who doesn't care about environment yet dominating the council. Thus it would be hard for Frank Braun to apply his positive advocates on environment issues. So if the author wants to prove that Braun is not backing environment protection, he would have to provide more solid evidences such as the voting record of Braun in the town council.
  Thirdly, even if Ann Green had won the election and got into office, the environment condition in Clearview will not necessarily be improved, since the author fails to provide any compelling example showing that Green is a leader of capability and credibility. Even given the fact that she is a member of the Good Earth Coalition, her willing to take effective measures to help the local environment is what I still take leave to doubt. It’s entirely possible that the newly elected mayor finally compromised with the owners of the factories, making no positive efforts to the town’s air condition.
  To sum up, if the author wants to make his article more credible, he should (1) conduct a elaborate research supporting that the factories are responsible for the worse air condition, (2) provide more evidences showing that Frank Braun is not favorable in protecting environment, and (3) give some telling examples which could prove that Ann Green would make a competent leader.

wdassfmUID：2542447

The author of the letter advocated that we should vote for Ann Green rather than Frank Braun in the mayoral election in Clearview. To support his contention, the author listed several reasons mainly referring to the distinct behaviors of the two candidates in environmental aspect. However, under a close look of the author's evidences and reasoning processes, we could find several fallacies which would render the article rather unpersuasive.

  To start with, the author points out that the number of factories in Clearview town has doubled during the past years, then rashly conclude that it is the cause of a degenerated air condition and an increased number of respiratory illnesses.(作者似乎并没有这么说吧~) Unfortunately, the author is unable to rule out other possibilities may lead to the same consequences. It is entirely possible that the phenomena are resulted from the industrial development of adjacent towns, which could bring the polluted air to Clearview via winds. Or perhaps the air is polluted by car exhausts as the local traffic develops(还可以在深入一点)

  Secondly, even assuming the construction of factories is the very reason for the polluted environment in Clearview, it's absolutely unfair to speculate Frank Braun is not in favor of environment protection.(题目中是说C的town council member 不关心环境，直接说到FB不太好吧) As we known, he is just a member, not the leader, of the town council. There's much possibility that the policies were made by those who doesn't care about environment yet dominating the council(提得很好). Thus it would be hard for Frank Braun to apply his positive advocates on environment issues. So if the author wants to prove that Braun is not backing environment protection, he would have to provide more solid evidences such as the voting record of Braun in the town council.(这点展开的很充分)

  Thirdly, even if Ann Green had won the election and got into office, the environment condition in Clearview will not necessarily be improved, since the author fails to provide any compelling example showing that Green is a leader of capability and credibility. Even given the fact that she(哈哈~) is a member of the Good Earth Coalition, her willing to take effective measures to help the local environment is what I still take leave to doubt. It’s entirely possible that the newly elected mayor finally compromised with the owners of the factories, making no positive efforts to the town’s air condition.
  To sum up, if the author wants to make his article more credible, he should (1) conduct a elaborate research supporting that the factories are responsible for the worse air condition, (2) provide more evidences showing that Frank Braun is not favorable in protecting environment, and (3) give some telling examples which could prove that Ann Green would make a competent leader.(最后一段总结很好，好好学习下~)

不好意思，拖了那么久……

wdassfmUID：2542447

又看了一下，觉得speculate不能这么用吧，查到的只有直接加从句的或者当不及物动词的，你再考虑考虑哈~