Argument 11 Maple County
本帖最后由 ClaretZ 于 2015-5-14 16:59 编辑本帖来自"14年秋季GRE提纲+全文互改小组"，欢迎关注！你还可以查看更多小组、创建小组11) The council of Maple County, concerned about the county's becoming overdeveloped, is debating a proposed measure that would prevent the development of existing farmland in the county. But the council is also concerned that such a restriction, by limiting the supply of new housing, could lead to significant increases in the price of housing in the county. Proponents of the measure note that Chestnut County established a similar measure ten years ago, and its housing prices have increased only modestly since. However, opponents of the measure note that Pine County adopted restrictions on the development of new residential housing fifteen years ago, and its housing prices have since more than doubled. The council currently predicts that the proposed measure, if passed, will result in a significant increase in housing prices in Maple County.
Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be answered in order to decide whether the prediction and the argument on which it is based are reasonable. Be sure to explain how the answers to these questions would help to evaluate the prediction.
请回帖时按照指引( https://bbs.gter.net/thread-1777364-1-1.html )列出英语提纲并用汉语解释并根据指引点评楼上的提纲。 第一个回帖的同学不必点评 提纲初稿：
In order to decide whether the prediction is reasonable, three questions about the economic of three different counties, the detailed measures used to limit the supply of new housing in different counties, and inflation in different counties would need to be answered.
First of all, the question about how the economic is in Chestnut County ten years ago, in Pine County fifteen years ago, and in Maple County now should be answered.从经济学角度来讲，价格对供给变化的反应取决于新房供求市场的弹性，弹性越大，价格对供给的变化越敏感。因此需要具体分析各个地区在特定时间的经济状况。
What is more, the question about the detailed measure used to limit the supply of new housing in different counties in specific time period should be answered.举例：将新房供给限制到原本的90%和原来的10%，对房价的影响肯定不同。
Finally, the question about the inflation in the three counties needs to be answered.也许房价上涨是因为通货膨胀导致的。
讨论笔记：
第三点归入第一点
第三点：考虑需求、人口增长量
第四点：政府政策、货币供应量
修改思路一：
第一点：供给：各个county的农田开发量占总的土地供应量的比例，农田的数量
第二点：需求：人口变化量，人口收入
第三点：政府政策：货币供应量在头五年的变化大
修改思路二：
第一个：Chestnut County为何没变
第二个：Pine County为何变了
第三个：Maple 更像哪个
需要注意的问题：
（1）limit the supply of new housing 怎么会prevent the development of existing farmland in the county，该信息在作文中是否需要用到
（2）the development of existing farmland是指将农田改造为住宅区
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