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[i习作temp] argument51 [0710G-summer小组]第六次作业 [复制链接]

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发表于 2007-7-23 12:21:34 |只看该作者 |倒序浏览
[argument51]
The following appeared in a medical newsletter.
"Doctors have long suspected that secondary infections may keep some patients from healing quickly after severe muscle strain. This hypothesis has now been proved by preliminary results of a study of two groups of patients. The first group of patients, all being treated for muscle injuries by Dr. Newland, a doctor who specializes in sports medicine, took antibiotics regularly throughout their treatment. Their recuperation time was, on average, 40 percent quicker than typically expected. Patients in the second group, all being treated by Dr. Alton, a general physician, were given sugar pills, although the patients believed they were taking antibiotics. Their average recuperation time was not significantly reduced. Therefore, all patients who are diagnosed with muscle strain would be well advised to take antibiotics as part of their treatment. "


[中文提纲]
1.每个小组的绝对数量够不够,相对之间的数量差别大不大,每个小组患者的选择是否具有代表性。
2.即便患者选择没问题,未必是由于抗生素的作用,正如作者所说,第一组的医生比第二组的更专业。
3.即便抗生素真的有用,那也不能推广到所有肌肉扭伤的患者。


[argument51]
words: 514    time: 30 minutes
Merely based on the unfounded assumption and dubious evidence,the statement draws the conclusion that all patients  diagnosed with muscle strain should take antibiotics as part of their treatment.To substantiate the conclusion,the author points out the evidence that the recuperation of the first group is much faster than of the second group.At first glance,the argument appears to be somewhat convincing,but further reflection reviews that it omits some substantial concerns that should be addressed in this argument.In my view,this argument suffers from three logical flaws.


The threshold problem with this argument is that the arguer tells us that two groups of patients are involved in the sthdy.However,the author fails to provide information regarding the absolute number of patients in each group.Perhaps the patients number is very smallso this evidence of this study is far too vague to be meaningful.Furthermore,the arguer gives us no convincing evidence that the two groups of patients are representative of the people diagnosed with muscle strain.For example,when patients in the first group are more healthier or stronger,the recuperation of them should be obviously much more faster than those in the second group.So unless the two group both sampled a sufficient number of patients and did so randomly across the entire people  diagnosed with muscle strain,the study results are not reliable go gauge the conclusion generally.

Even if the patients in the study are sufficient and representive,another problem that weekens the logic of this argument is that the author relies on what might be a poor contrast between the two groups.Just as what is stated in the argument,the  doctor in the first group is a doctor who specializes in sports medicine while the doctor in the second one is a general physician.It is much probable that the doctor in first group gave more other kinds of treatment through his special knowledge in sports medicine resulting in the faster recuperation.So the faster recuperation might stemmed from other factors rather than antibiotics.

Even if the patients in the study are sufficient and representive and antibiotics can indeed help the recuperation of the patients,the arguer should not falsely and hastily extend this treatment to all patients who are diagnosed with muscle strain.For example,it is most likely that some patients diagnosed with muscle strain didnot suffer from secondary infections.If so,it is unwarranted that antibiotics should be used to these patients.Without ruling out these possible situation or factors,the author cannot confidently conclude that the antibiotics could have a better effect on all the patients diagnosed with muscle strain.

To sum up,the author fails to strength his conclusion that antibiotics could help recuperation of all patients diagnosed with muscle strain,because the evidence cited in the statement does not lend strong support to what the arguer maintains.To make this argument more convincing,the arguer would have to provide more information with regard to the effect antibiotics exert on the patients.Addtionally,he would have to demonstrate more credible evidence that antibiotics can accelerate recuperation process for all kinds of patients  diagnosed with muscle strain.Therefore,if this argument had included the given factors mentioned above,the argument would have been more thorough and logically acceptable.
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发表于 2007-7-23 19:04:54 |只看该作者

Merely based on the unfounded assumption and dubious evidence,the statement draws the conclusion that all patients  diagnosed with muscle strain should take antibiotics as part of their treatment.To substantiate the conclusion,the author points out the evidence that the recuperation of the first group is much faster than of the second group.At first glance,the argument appears to be somewhat convincing,but further reflection reviews that it omits some substantial concerns that should be addressed in this argument.In my view,this argument suffers from three logical flaws.The threshold problem with this argument is that the arguer tells us that two groups of patients are involved in the sthdy(study).However,the author fails to provide information regarding the absolute number of patients in each group.Perhaps the patients number(不知道可以这么说不 the number of patients) is very small,so this evidence of this study is far too vague to be meaningful.Furthermore,the arguer gives us no convincing evidence that the two groups of patients are representative of the people diagnosed with muscle strain.For example,when patients in the first group are more healthier or stronger,the recuperation of them should be obviously much more faster than those in the second group.So unless the two group both sampled a sufficient number of patients and did so randomly across the entire people  diagnosed with muscle strain,the study results are not reliable go gauge(?? 没看懂) the conclusion generally.Even if the patients in the study are sufficient and representive,another problem that weekens the logic of this argument is that the author relies on what might be a poor contrast between the two groups.Just as what is stated in the argument,the  doctor in the first group is a doctor who specializes in sports medicine while the doctor in the second one is a general physician.It is much probable that the doctor in first group gave more other kinds of treatment through his special knowledge in sports medicine resulting in the faster recuperation.So the faster recuperation might stemmed from other factors rather than antibiotics.Even if the patients in the study are sufficient and representive and antibiotics can indeed help the recuperation of the patients,the arguer should not falsely and hastily extend this treatment to all patients who are diagnosed with muscle strain.For example,it is most likely that some patients diagnosed with muscle strain did not suffer from secondary infections.If so,it is unwarranted that antibiotics should be used to these patients.Without ruling out these possible situation or factors,the author cannot confidently conclude that the antibiotics could have a better effect on all the patients diagnosed with muscle strain.To sum up,the author fails to strength his conclusion that antibiotics could help recuperation of all patients diagnosed with muscle strain,because the evidence cited in the statement does not lend strong support to what the arguer maintains.To make this argument more convincing,the arguer would have to provide more information with regard to the effect antibiotics exert on the patients.Addtionally,he would have to demonstrate more credible evidence that antibiotics can accelerate recuperation process for all kinds of patients  diagnosed with muscle strain.Therefore,if this argument had included the given factors mentioned above,the argument would have been more thorough and logically acceptable.


这篇模版痕迹有些重了不知道这样写是否合适我以前也是这样套的但是最后还是觉得多投入在中间论述因为我打字太慢了呵呵
还有就是第三点还可以提一下抗生素可能会导致其他副作用 还有就是secondary infections may keep some patients from healing quickly after severe muscle strain.这个假设是不是也应该攻击一下 发文格式又不对了

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RE: argument51 [0710G-summer小组]第六次作业 [修改]
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