[a习作temp] argument65 【7\8\9\10】080802第13次作业 [复制链接]

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电梯直达

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发表于 2008-8-2 22:56:51 |只看该作者 |倒序浏览

注

1 因为要体现下现在最好水平所以我没有限时而且思考的很多平时限时肯定倒不了500字时间很紧

2 因为有些感觉我的思路无法很好去驳斥的比如停止进口的奶酪可以降低库存我省略掉了直接跳到下一个驳斥点不知道会不会整体影响逻辑关系
3 完全甩开模板基本很难做到

3 基本就这几点疑惑

题目：ARGUMENT65 -The following appeared in a memo from the president of a chain of cheese storeslocated throughout the United States.

"For many years all the stores in our chain havestocked a wide variety of both domestic and imported cheeses. Last year,however, the five best-selling cheeses at our newest store were all domesticcheddar cheeses from Wisconsin. Furthermore, a recent survey by Cheeses of theWorld magazine indicates an increasing preference for domestic cheeses amongits subscribers. Since our company can reduce expenses by limiting inventory,the best way to improve profits in all of our stores is to discontinue stockingmany of our varieties of imported cheese and concentrate primarily on domesticcheeses."
字数：504       用时：01:00:23       日期：2008/8/217:23:30

In this argument, the author conclude that to discontinuestocking varieties of imported cheese and concentrate on domestic cheeses isthe best way to improve profits. To support the conclusion, the author pointout five best-selling cheeses at  neweststore ware domestic cheddar cheeses. The author also cites a survey result ofincreasing preference for domestic cheeses. The argument, in several aspects,has some flaws.

To begin with, the author assumes that the fact thatbest-selling cheeses in newest store were all domestic cheddar cheese indicatesthat their consumers have more preference on domestic cheeses than importedone. However, the author fails to substantiate the assumption. If the neweststore is located in the particular region-for instance the urban, or town,where consumers there have the preference on the domestic cheeses for they haveprobably no chance to taste the imported one, and if the company's most storesare located in central city or other modern community,  the domestic cheddar cheeses might not themost preference in overall consumers.

Secondly, the author also assumes the survey conducted bya world magazine,  whose respondents arethe subscribers,  has indicated thatconsumers have an increasing preference for domestic cheeses. However, theauthor fails to account for the possibility that the few subscribers of themagazine are the consumers of the cheese of the company, even that they are notconsumers of cheese since they prefer to learn, through related magazine, tocook it by their own. Even if these subscribers would buy the cheeses from thecompany's stores, the author fails to consider whether the respondents arerepresentative the consumers in general. After all, nowadays people would prefer to buy magazine, rather thansubscribe it. If too small number of people have subscribed Cheeses of WorldMagazine, the survey's result cannot convince me that the consumers wouldincreasingly prefer the domestic cheese.

Thirdly, Even if both newest store's feedback and the surveyconducted by the magazine have  indicatedthat more consumers would have a preference to buy the domestic cheese thanimported one. The author assumes that the policy of discontinue stockingvarieties of imported cheese and concentrating on domestic cheese would limitinventory and reduce expenses, thereby improve the profits. But he fails to substantiatethe assumption. Its common knowledge that profits depends on both cost and saleprice. If the sale price are not high due to the competition of the market, andcost of inventory of them are large due to the salary, rent expense ofwarehouse and so forth, the profits would not improved.

To sum up, the conclusion that the policy that storesdiscontinue stocking varieties of imported cheese and concentrate on domesticcheeses will improve profits sounds logical, however, before the finalconclusion is made, the author should consider the condition of selling ofdomestic in all stores, beside bestselling one. The author also should give theinformation about subscribers of the magazine. In addition, cost of inventory,salary of employee and sale price of domestic cheese would also be considered  carefully.

[ 本帖最后由 lastangel 于 2008-8-4 03:13 编辑 ]