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Argument38 [0710G summer小组]第四次作业_by schenmob
TOPIC: ARGUMENT38 - The following memo appeared in the newsletter of the West Meria Public Health Council.
"An innovative treatment has come to our attention that promises to significantly reduce absenteeism in our schools and workplaces. A study reports that in nearby East Meria, where fish consumption is very high, people visit the doctor only once or twice per year for the treatment of colds. Clearly, eating a substantial amount of fish can prevent colds. Since colds are the reason most frequently given for absences from school and work, we recommend the daily use of Ichthaid, a nutritional supplement derived from fish oil, as a good way to prevent colds and lower absenteeism."
WORDS: 518
提纲:
1. 吃鱼多 未必感冒少 可能由于其他原因(气候) 每年去医院看病的次数 也不能说明得感冒少 可能很多人得了但在家休息吃药
2. 即便东部如此 但东西有差异 使吃鱼未必能在西部有效
3. 即便西部有效但I未必有和鱼一样的效果 可能有效成分流失 可能有副作用
4. 没有证据表明感冒是矿工最主要的理由 可能是拿感冒当借口
5. 调查是否可信是否具有代表性
In this memo, the author claims that the daily use of Ichthaid, a nutritional supplement derived from fish oil, is a good way to prevent colds and lower absenteeism. However, based on some dubious evidence and an unconvincing study, the statement suffers from several logical flaws.
To begin with, the author provides no evidence to indicate the relations between eating too much and catch(catching) cold. At first, in nearby East Meria, where fish consumption is very high, people visit the doctor only once or twice per years for the treatment of colds does not mean that the times that they catch colds per year is low. Perhaps, when people there catch cold, they only take some medicines and just have a rest at home. Even if people there do not catch colds too often, perhaps people there pay more attention to their health. And there is also another possibility that the conditions and climate there are good so that people there rarely catch cold.
Besides, even if people in East Meria rarely catch cold just since their fish consumption is very high, the author overlooks the differences between the West Meria and the East Meria. The author provides no evidence to indicate that the situations in the West Meria and in the East Meria are the same. Perhaps, the situations in both places mentioned above are entirely different. It is the possible that the climate and health condition in both places are different and people in West Meria easily catch cold. These possible(possibilities) can lead to the fact that eating fish cannot prevent colds in the West Meria. Without ruling out these possibilities, the author fails to conclude that people in the West Meria can eat a substantial amount of fish in order to prevent colds.
Furthermore, even if in the West Meria eating fish is a effective way to prevent colds, the author provides no evidence to indicate that the Ichthaid has a equally effect with fish. Perhaps, the constituent of the fish that is effective part to prevent colds is lost during the process of the deriving. Or perhaps, the Ichthaid has some bad effect on people's health. Without considering these possibilities, I cannot believe that Ichthaid can also prevent colds.
In addition, the author provides no evidence to indicate that the study mentioned in the memo is reliable, and the author even provides no details of the number of the respondents which leads the study to be dubious.
Last but not the least, the arguer concludes that colds are the reasons most frequently given for absences from school and work, but the arguer provides no evidence to indicate that. Perhaps, they only take colds as a mainly excuse given for absences.
To sum up, the statement is unconvincing and dubious. In order to strengthen the statement, the author should provide more details about the situations in the West Meria and the study mentioned in the memo. And the author also has to provide a new survey about the mainly reason given for absences before he reaches the conclusion. Or the arguer fails to persuade me.
我觉得后面几点可以写在一起,他们可以算是一些非主要错误逻辑点,写在一起较好。这样段落更突出,思路更清晰,否则的话觉得比较散。总的来说,写得不错,逻辑错误点分析得很充分。 |
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