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------题目------
The following appeared in a letter to the editor of a local newspaper from a citizen of the state of Impecunia.
'Two years ago our neighboring state, Lucria, began a state lottery to supplement tax revenues for education and public health. Today, Lucria spends more per pupil than we do, and Lucria's public health program treats far more people than our state's program does. If we were to establish a state lottery like the one in Lucria, the profits could be used to improve our educational system and public health program. The new lottery would doubtless be successful, because a survey conducted in our capital city concludes that citizens of Impecunia already spend an average of $50 per person per year on gambling.'
------正文------
According to the arguer’s opinion, because our neighboring state, Lucria, set a state lottery to supplement tax revenues for education and public health, it seems get an improvement in these two fields. After carefully thinking, problems can be deducted from the consequence. Although the reasons are given to the arguer’s point of view that our state should establish a state lottery like the one in Lucria to gather money for education system and public health program, there is still fallacies among the analysis besides the frangibility of the reasons.
First of all, Lucria spends more on education and it's public health program treats more people than our state's may not result from the lottery. These phenomena are more likely caused by other rational factors such as the financial income, the more emphasizing by the state government, or the certain education and health condition of Lucria. The different treatments of the health program maybe just because Lucria has more unhealthy people. In a word, the income of the state may not the main reason of their seems better treatment in education and health, not to say money gotten by lottery. After all, lottery can only attribute little to one state's income. There are still many other more important ways to get money.
More over maybe the compare between the two states is not appropriate. It is undoubtedly that the condition of the two states are not the same. The form of the entertainment of the people in the two places maybe totally different. Although there is a survey conducted in the capital city of our state shows the citizens there spend some money on gambling, the support is not strong enough. First, the survey is only taken in one city of the state, not even one sample is supplied at other parts. It is possible that the conditions of different places are various, especially, the city took the survey is the capital. In most times, the economy condition of the capital is better than other places, so the people spend more money on gambling is usual. And that, gambling is not only in the form of lottery. Maybe most people under the survey just like playing cards or gambling odds.
In a word the reason given to support the editor's view is not sufficient. The argument is neither logically sound nor persuasive. To better bolster and strengthen the argument, the arguer need to guarantee us that the lottery acts an important part as the supporting element to education and public health; and the survey should be not only held in our whole state, but also representative. Without more convincing evidence, we can not get the conclusion as the arguer does. |
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