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前几天有点是,看晚了.
The author of this editorial argues that in order to reduce the crime rate the city of Dalton should establish a 10:00 p.m. curfew for minors under age 18. To support the argument, the author points out that Williamsville adopted a similar curfew four months ago, and since then Williamsville's youth crime rate has dropped by 27 percent during curfew hours. The author also points outstand for.换一下 that after taking the measure不该用这个吧., in Williamsville's town square no crimes have been reported. However, close scrutiny of the argument reveals various logical problems, which render it unconvincing.
To begin with, the author fails to convince me that Williamsville's overall crime rate has declined, or that the curfew is responsible for any such decline. It is entirely possible that although the city's youth crime rate has declined, its adult crime rate has risen. If so, the proposed curfewthe propose of the curfew. in Dalton might accomplish little toward reducing its crime rate. Even if Williamsville's overall crime rate has declined in the past four months, the decline is not necessarily attributable to the curfew. Perhaps Williamsville has also establish other social programes that help young people avoid delinquency. In short, without ruling out all other possibilities that might affect Williamsville's crime rate during the last four months, the author's claim that the curfew is responsible for the drop of the city's crime rate is dubious
Moreover, the evidence involving the city square does not adequately assume that the curfew has reduceddecrease,换以下. the crime rate. The number of crime reported in the square does not necessarily reflect the number actually commited there. It is entirelyparticularly. possible that the government of Williamsville has confined media to report the crimes after the curfescurfew.. If so, then the mere fact that no crimes in the square have been reported recently would amount to scant support for the author's argument.
Even if Williamsville's curfew has beenis. effective to reduce the city's overall crime rate, the editorial's claim, based on a false analogy, that the curfew would cause a similar decline in Dalton is unwarranted. Dalton might differ from Williamsville in some.ways that would undermine the curfew's effectiveness in Dalton. Or perhaps the percentage of crimes commited by adults in Dalton is far greater than that in Williamsville. Thus, lacking evidence that conditonsprove the conditions. on the two cities are relevantly similar, the author cannot convince me on the basis of Williamsville's experience that the curfew would be effective in attaining Dalton's goals.
Finally, the author infers that the curfew would control juvenile delinquency and protect minors from becoming victims of crime is also problematic. This reference depends on the assumption that all youth crimes and crimes against youths occur during curfew hours. Yet common sence informs me that many such crimes occur during other hours.好象有点不太合理,只能说作者没有足够的证据表明发生在CURFEW时间.
To sum up, the argument is not persuasive as it stands. To strengthen the argument, the author must provide clear evidence that the curfew, not some other reasons, influence the youth crime rate in Williamsville. To better evaluate the argument, we would need to compare the two cities' conditions. Additionally, the author would have to provide more information about what percentage of crimes related to youth in Dalton.
感觉还不错,结尾的句子应该简洁一点,突出主题嘛,加油了. |
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