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发表于 2005-8-17 21:23:46
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174.The following recommendation was made by the president and administrative staff of Grove College, a private institution, to the college's governing committee.
"We recommend that Grove College preserve its century-old tradition of all-female education rather than admit men into its programs. It is true that a majority of faculty members voted in favor of coeducation, arguing that it would encourage more students to apply to Grove. But eighty percent of the students responding to a survey conducted by the student government wanted the school to remain all female, and over half of the alumni who answered a separate survey also opposed coeducation. Keeping the college all-female, therefore, will improve morale among students and convince alumni to keep supporting the college financially."
我们建议Grove学院保留其已有百年历史的女校传统,而不是允许录取男性。确实有大部分员工投票赞成男女同校,认为这会使更多的学生申请Grove。但由学生会所组织的一次调查中,有80%的被访学生要求学校维持女校形式,并且在回应了一次单独调查的校友中超过一半的人也反对男女同校。因此,维持女校形式将促进学生的精神状态并且让校友继续对学院进行财政资助。
1.survey
2.校友不一顶会减少资助。
3。无法促进精神状态。
In this argument, the administration of Grove College recommends that Grove College preserve its tradition of all-female education. To support this recommendation, the administration points out that preserving its tradition will improve morale and ensure alumni to keep the financial support. Also, the administration cites two surveys in which 80% of the student respondents and over 50% of the alumni respondents opposed coeducation. The administration's recommendation is flawed on several grounds, rendering it logically unconvincing as it stands.
The major problem with the argument is that the administration provides no evidence that the results of either of the two surveys are statistically reliable. First, we are not informed how many students were surveyed. The smaller the sample, the less reliable the results. In addition, the survey results depend on the honesty of the respondents. Perhaps the female students in Grove College actually preferred coeducation, but were forced to choose the tradition of all-female education by the student government or even the administration. Secondly, we are not informed the whether the sample was representative of the alumni population. Perhaps only a few alumni were surveyed, for the reason that it was difficult to contact the alumni. Besides, the terms "over half of the alumni" are far too vague to allow for any meaningful conclusions.
Another problem that weakens the logic of the argument is that the administration hastily assumes that if Grove College admits male students the alumni will not give the college financial support or reduce the amount of money they donate. Perhaps, admitting male students will bring an improvement in the quality of teaching since most teachers in Grove College prefer coeducation. In the result, Grove College will become more well-known among students and parents, and the alumni might be more willing to donate to their college. Moreover, since the administration provides no details of information about the amount of money that each alumnus or alumnae usually donates, it is entirely possible that the alumni who prefer coeducation actually contribute the majority of money to the College. If so, the College might get even more donation from them, which outweighs the decrease of money donated from those who oppose the change.
Yet another problem involves the unsubstantiated assumption that keeping the college all-female will improve morale among students. The administration does not show any correlation, let along a cause-and-effect relationship, between the morale among students and whether to admit male students. After all, common sense and experience inform us that morale is usually higher in a coeducational college. Without better evidence the administration cannot justifiably conclude that the moral among students will be improved by keeping all-female education.
In sum, the recommendation relies on certain doubtful assumptions that render it unconvincing as it stands. To strengthen the recommendation the administration must offer better evidence that keeping the college all-female will improve morale among students and ensure continued donations from alumni. To better assess the recommendation I would need to know the two samples population.
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