- 最后登录
- 2009-1-17
- 在线时间
- 0 小时
- 寄托币
- 1047
- 声望
- 0
- 注册时间
- 2005-6-16
- 阅读权限
- 25
- 帖子
- 2
- 精华
- 0
- 积分
- 945
- UID
- 2109433

- 声望
- 0
- 寄托币
- 1047
- 注册时间
- 2005-6-16
- 精华
- 0
- 帖子
- 2
|
Argument38 The following memo appeared in the newsletter of the West Meria Public Health Council.
"An innovative treatment has come to our attention that promises to significantly reduce absenteeism in our schools and workplaces. A study reports that in nearby East Meria, where fish consumption is very high, people visit the doctor only once or twice per year for the treatment of colds. Clearly, eating a substantial amount of fish can prevent colds. Since colds are the reason most frequently given for absences from school and work, we recommend the daily use of Ichthaid, a nutritional supplement derived from fish oil, as a good way to prevent colds and lower absenteeism."
:victory:提纲:
1.East Meira的人每年去医院一到两次并不说明这些人没有感冒啊.
2. 在East Meria,大量吃鱼并不一定能够减少感冒的发生,可能这里天气好,不容易感冒等.
3.吃鱼可以降低感冒,那光吃鱼油是否能有同样的功效,值得商榷.
4. 即使吃Ichthaid能够减少感冒,但是不是就一定能够减少absenteeism呢?值得考虑.
In this argument, the arguer asserts that the daily use of Ichthaid derived from fish oil could prevent colds, and therefore that it could lower absenteeism. To support this assertion, the arguer provides the evidence that in East Meria, people who eat fish a lot visit the doctor scarcely. The argument suffers from several critical fallacies.
In the first place, the arguer commits a fallacy of hasty generalization. The fact that people in East Meria visit the doctor only once or twice per year for the treatment of cold does not necessarily indicate that these people scarcely have a cold. It is entirely possible that these people, if having a cold, do not choose to see the doctor, but rather take some pills in that cold is not a serious disease. So the arguer fails to provide more information as to whether people in East Meria is indeed likely to have a cold.
In the second place, the cause-and-effect relationship of high fish consumption and lower possibility of having a cold appears uncertain. The arguer does not provide enough evidence to evince that the latter is attributable to the former. Lacking such evidence, it is entirely possible the weather in East Meria is so agreeable that people living there are unlikely to catch a cold. Or perhaps, people in East Meria prefer to doing exercise even if they ear fish usually. Therefore, without ruling out these and other factors which might cause the lower possibility of having a cold, we cannot accept the arguer's conclusion.
In the third place, the arguer commits a fallacy of assuming that Ichthaid is useful in preventing colds. Even though fish consumption is a good way to prevent colds, no evidence is provided to demonstrate that fish oil is also useful in preventing colds. Therefore, the arguer cannot convince us that Ichthaid, a nutritional supplement derived from fish oil could prevent colds.
Last but not least, the arguer unfairly assumes that the daily use of Ichthaid could lower absenteeism. Even though Ichthaid is admitted to be able to prevent colds, it does not indicate that absenteeism can be lower. Because the arguer fails to provide such evidence that the colds given for absences are real or not. Maybe lots of people pretend to be cold in order to keep several days off. Thus, in this sense, even though the colds are lessened, absenteeism cannot be lower.
To sum up, the conclusion lacks credibility as it stands. :victory:
[ 本帖最后由 peternana 于 2006-3-29 18:58 编辑 ] |
|