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TOPIC: ARGUMENT7 - The following appeared in a letter to the editor of the Clearview newspaper.
"In the next mayoral election, residents of Clearview should vote for Ann Green, who is a member of the Good Earth Coalition, rather than for Frank Braun, a member of the Clearview town council, because the current members are not protecting our environment. For example, during the past year the number of factories in Clearview has doubled, air pollution levels have increased, and the local hospital has treated 25 percent more patients with respiratory illnesses. If we elect Ann Green, the environmental problems in Clearview will certainly be solved."
Merely base(d) on three (pieces of) unfound dubious evidence to conclude mayor Frank did not protect our environment lacks(主语呢?前面加一个fact吧要不就有两个谓语动词了) evidence, also, the final conclusion that we should choose Ann Green to be our mayor and the environment problem is certainly (to) be solved seems not convincing. Actually, there are three logical false(fallacies比较好,false是形容词)
in the author's analysis.
Firstly, during last year, the doubled of the factory number, the increased air pollution levels, and the more people with respiratory illnesses may not because of the worse of environment(缺少谓语动词). Maybe the population of Clearview has increased, so the number of factories raised (rise, raise 是vt)to meet the economic developed, and with more people living here, the car number has increased as well as the air pollution level, then, the hospital treated more patients with respiratory illnesses. Or perhaps the sudden climate change which(去掉) cause the increase of air pollution level and the increased respiratory illnesses, but the factory number doubled for the policy reasons. Without more specific evidences, it is unwise to make sure the sighs above indicted the worse of environment in Clearview.
Secondly, even if all above increase is cause by environment problem, there lacks evidence to show it is because of Frank Braun. may be he has already took actions to stop it ,but needs more time to have effects(不大明白); or it is the nearby city's pollutions which impact on our residence as well as the air pollution level ,not our mayor’s mistake; or Frank's environment protection policy was not well done by the officials. Without eliminated(eliminating) other alternations, we can not surly conclude it is Braun who do not protect the environment and make the situation worse.
Thirdly, even if the assumptions above are true, no evidence to support if we choose Ann Green to be the mayor, the environment condition will be promoted and the environmental problem will be solved. Only because she is a number of Good Earth Coalition, we can only conclude that she will be interested in environment protection. but does she have the ability to arrange the environment policy? Is she an (more) effective leader compared with Braun? Or what she is done in the past to indicate she is the proper person as a mayor? Moreover, is there any one who is better than her for the mayor’s position? Lacking all the detailed information, we can not conclude she will be the best mayor to solve the environmental problems. (这一段很有气势,一连串的反问加推测,还有递进关系咄咄逼人,值得学习)
In sum, the conclusion of the author is not well supported. The argument's proponent must consider and eliminate all other possible explanations for the cause of increased air pollution level, respiratory illnesses and the doubled factory number. Also, the author needs to consider other aspects to decide whether to choose Ann Green to be the mayor, or there are other people who is better for the position.(好,我咋就想不到?)
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