In the recommendation,the Human resource manager recommend appointing Rosa Winings and paying Rosa twice the salary that Pat has been receiving. To support this recommendation, the manager cites following facts: (1) our profits have fallen considerably under the leadership of Pat Salvo; (2) Starlight Jewelry's profits have increased by the leader of Rosa. This argument is flawed in several critical respects.
Fisrtly, the manager does not provide sufficient evidence that the fall of profit in FT company result from ineffective of Pat Salvo. Lack such evidence, it is possible that may be the all field of toy now is suffering from a reccession, or perhaps the underlies did not have adequate ability to implement what Pat Salvo had planned. What's more, there is also no evidence that Rosa Winnings brought to Starlight Jewelry the soar of profits. Perhaps, it is because the diligence of her staff.
Secondly, this argument relies on what might be a false analogy between FTC and SJ. In order for Rosa Winnings to work as well in FTC as in SJ. The manager must assume that all the relevant circumstances all essentially the same. However, this assumption is not warranted. For, example, as SJ is a jewelry company, the leader might be well in dealing with those who are rich, whereas the leader in FTC must know how to sell commodities to children. Without sufficient evidence, the manager cannot convince me that Rosa will be success in FTC, let along pay Rosa twice the salary that Pat has been receiving.
Thirdly, even if Rosa will bring profits to FTC, the author's recommendation that they shuould pay Rosa twice the salary that Pat has been receiving is unfounded. The manager does not provide evidence that Rosa will bring much more profit that Pat had done. Perhaps the plus profits that Rosa brings can not counteract the plus salary that FTC gives.
To sum up, the recommendation relies on certain doubtful assumption and specious ratiocination that render it unconvincing. To strengthen the recommendation the manager must provide clear evidence that ineffectivity of Pat Salvo is the cause of decline of profits, and whether Rosa will make profits increasing in FTC as she had done in SJ.