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argument 50:
From a draft textbook manuscript submitted to a publisher.
"As Earth was being formed out of the collision of space rocks, the heat from those collisions and from the increasing gravitational energy of the planet made the entire planet molten, even the surface. Any water present would have evaporated and gone off into space. As the planet approached its current size, however, its gravitation became strong enough to hold gases and water vapor around it as an atmosphere. Because comets are largely ice made up of frozen water and gases, a comet striking Earth then would have vaporized. The resulting water vapor would have been retained in the atmosphere, eventually falling as rain on the cooled and solidified surface of Earth. Therefore, the water in Earth's oceans must have originated from comets."
In this argument,the arguer concludes that the water in Earh’s oceans must have orginated from comets.To support the conclusion,the arguer cites a theory that Earh was formed out of the collision of space rocks and any water would have evaporated for the high temperature as a consequence of collisions.The arguer also states that when comets which are largerly ice made up of frozen water striked Eath,the water would have vaporized and been retained in the atmosphere then produce all kinds of water in Earth.However,the argument is unconvincing for it suffers from several critical flaws.
First of all,the arguer fails to take into account other factors that might affect the procedure to form water.The arguer assums when comets striked Earth,the frozen water of comets would have vaporized for the high temperature based on the theory of collisions of space rocks.Though,the temperature is very high in the initial period of Earth,what it is when Earth approached its current size is still questionable.It is likely that the temperature at that time is too low to evaporize water,which,if true, will seriously weaken the assumption of the argument.
In addition,the arguer commits a fallacy of hasty generalization.Even if we believe when comet striked Earth,the water of comets could have evaporized,which is unwarranted, however,solely based on this slim information,we can not follow that the water in Earth’s ocean originaged from comets.How many comets had striked Earth?Is the number of comets is sufficient to produce the water in Earth?All these questions are open to doubt for the arguer fails to provide any more evidences about them.
Finally,the arguer ignores other factors might generate water in the surface of Earth..It is well known that water is combined with hydrogen element and oxygen element.That is to say,as long as there are hydrogen element and oxygen element in Earth,it is possibily that they can produce water on a certain circumstance.Without ruling out the possibility,the argument is not convincing.
In summary,the conclusion lacks credibility because the evidences cited in the analysis does not lend strong support to what the arguer maintains.To strengthen the argument,the arguer should show direct linkage between comets and the formation of the water in Earth’s oceans.To better evaluate the argument,we need more concrete evidences that when comets striked Earth,it can produce water and water is sufficient to form Earth’s oceans. |
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