（推荐新手看这个帖）我的AW笔记本（内有老外280的分析，资料基本上看这个就够了）

zhangheng1020UID: 2130513

我的AW笔记本


[fly]:lolNow, :$

:$ time for my enjoyment:lol[/fly]

考试的机经参照
https://bbs.gter.net/viewthre ... ge=1&highlight=

[ 本帖最后由 nostrum 于 2006-11-18 22:04 编辑 ]

myq111UID: 2248616

顶下 虽然考完了

H-KevinUID: 2182070

好贴!@!

zhangheng1020UID: 2130513

只愿往事为密罗的碎影！历史永远荣耀那些对抗星运的英雄诗篇......

dlztUID: 2258171

很有用，谢谢啦
还有一个星期就考了，感觉自己还和新手一摸一样！

606UID: 2259206

:funk: :funk: :funk: :funk:

bh_akiUID: 2212616

那么多，光是看完这个帖子就用了一个星期。

自己弄上手还不知道什么时候了。

汗

nostrumUID: 2124189

这个帖子好，新手多看看

ycbbaUID: 2251780

谢谢:)

zhouzheng1110UID: 2137017

多谢楼主分享。偶也5T6G。呵呵。

my200277UID: 2181887

每个人的材料都是这么准备过来的吗

shielUID: 2140229

原帖由 zhangheng1020 于 2006-3-20 11:17 发表
我就不信这帖没人肯定~~~

无数的佩服!!
无数的支持!!!

LZ定有好成绩!!!!!!!!

shielUID: 2140229

原帖由 zhangheng1020 于 2006-3-20 11:17 发表
我就不信这帖没人肯定~~~

无数的佩服!!
无数的支持!!!

LZ定有好成绩!!!!!!!!

zhangheng1020UID: 2130513

全文完

zhangheng1020UID: 2130513

ARGUMENT239
https://bbs.gter.net/viewthre ... ghlight=argument239
"When the neighboring town of Williamsville adopted a curfew four months ago that made it illegal for persons under the age of 18 to loiter or idle in public places after 10 p.m., youth crime in Williamsville dropped by 27 percent during curfew hours. In Williamsville's town square, the area where its citizens were once most outraged at the high crime rate, not a single crime has been reported since the curfew was introduced. Therefore, to help reduce its own rising crime rate, the town of Dalton should adopt the same kind of curfew. A curfew that keeps young people at home late at night will surely control juvenile delinquency and protect minors from becoming victims of crime."

提纲：
1．        应不应该引进curfew的前提是宵禁对于减少犯罪率的有效性
2．        作者引用的证据不能证明宵禁的有效性，例如只用4个月的在W城镇的实践，时间太短没有说服力，还有只说明10点中以后的情况，且只是减少27％，这样完全有可能其她时间犯罪率反而高因为宵禁压制了人的自由
3．        作者没有证明W和D有可比性

It seems tempting to agree with the author's argument that the town of Dalton should adopt the curfew to help reduce its own rising crime rate based on the fact that the crime rate in Williamsville has been reduced by curfew. However, after close scrutiny, the statement is unpersuasive in the following aspects.

To begin with, whether the author's suggestion is beneficial to reduce the crime rate in Dalton depends on the effectiveness of curfew the effect on reducing crime rate. In order to prove this effect, the author cites the example of curfew on reducing crime rate in Williamsville just for four months, which is a relative short time to prove the effect of curfew. Moreover, the author provides no evidence to explain why the young crime rate just dropped by 27 percent but not a large percent only after 10 p.m. rather than other hours. It is entirely possible that crime rate before 10 p.m. will dramatically increase since the adoption of curfew. It is likely curfew that seriously results in more crime because to some extent, it presses the freedom if young people so that they become more outraged or rebellious to deliberately committed crime before curfew. Moreover, it is not unreasonable to argue the effect of curfew just based on the 4-month study, which seems a relative short time to prove the effect of curfew.

Moreover, the author makes a false analogy between the town of Dalton and Williamsville. Even though the curfew is effective to reduce the crime rate in Williamsville, it is entirely possible ineffective for Dalton because there is no evidence to prove that the crime rate in Dalton is mainly caused by the young people under the age of 18. Dalton may be an area centered with more colleges and universities where the population is largely the well-educated students so that the crime rate is somewhat relative slow. Therefore, the curfew is not likely to have little effect on reducing crime rate.

To sum up, in order to suggest the adoption of curfew, the author should provide more information to prove the effect of curfew on reducing crime rate in Williamsville. Moreover, the author should prove that the local conditions in both towns are the same, especially the cause of crime rate so that the crime rate in Dalton will be reduced after curfew.