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TOPIC: ARGUMENT2 - The following appeared in a letter sent by a committee of homeowners from the Deerhaven Acres to all homeowners in Deerhaven Acres.
"Seven years ago, homeowners in nearby Brookville community adopted a set of restrictions on how the community's yards should be landscaped and what colors the exteriors of homes should be painted. Since then, average property values have tripled in Brookville. In order to raise property values in Deerhaven Acres, we should adopt our own set of restrictions on landscaping and housepainting."
WORDS: 250 TIME: 00:30:00 DATE: 2007-7-24 0:47:09
Viewing from the evidence the author cited and the process of deduction, the suggestion that we should adopt our own set of restrictions on landscaping and housepainting is not convincible, as we discuss below.
Firstly, the most fatal error lying in the deduction is, the author mislead the concept of ‘average property value’ and ‘property value’. All the information the author gives is based on ‘average property value’, so,even if we hold for sure the evidence provided and the assumption that the restrictions in Deerhaven also works well,we can not conclude that its property will increase greatly just as its average value does. Maybe the raise in average property is largely because the decrease of population, and therefore the property value doesn’t see much enhancement.
What’s more,given that the restriction of housepainting and landscaping works well in Brookville; we are still not sure that it would also raise the average values in Deerhaven Acres. No information on the similarities of two districts has been provided. So there might be great differences between the two areas which will make the restrictions taking effect in Broolville won’t work here. For example, If many houses in Deerhaven Acres of are more than 200 years, which are of high cultural and historical value, the restrictions like that might destroy the original style of them, and directly decrease the property value. What’s more, if the residents in Deerhaven are relatively more conservative and dislike the new style of the housepaintings in the restrictions of their housepainting and landscaping, the sales of the house might drop, and then may result in the decrease of the property value.
Thirdly, the evidence is also insufficient for supporting the conclusion that it would help raise the average property value in Brookville. There might be other causes lead to the increase in property value. Maybe due to the increasing economy of the district, it offers more jobs and higher salary than seven years ago, and attracting more people for work, houses in high demand, so the average property raises-just like what happened in Silicon Valley. Maybe in the seven years time, the implementation of a project turned more wasted land into houses, which add up to the increase of property value. Therefore, before knowing details that showing the cause-effect relationship, we cannot confirm that it’s such restrictions that lead to the triple of the price.
To sum up, if we analysis how the author get the conclusion from his assumption, how the author use the evidence to support his assumption, we will find the information is still not enough, and therefore, the author should provide more detailed information to make the suggestion convincible.
[ 本帖最后由 norns 于 2007-7-24 17:18 编辑 ] |
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