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本帖最后由 clarence8 于 2010-7-10 18:47 编辑
TOPIC: ARGUMENT14 - The following appeared in a memo from the owner of Green Thumb Gardening Center, a small business serving a suburban town.
"There is evidence that consumers are becoming more and more interested in growing their own vegetables. A national survey conducted last month indicated that many consumers were dissatisfied with the quality of fresh vegetables available in supermarkets. And locally, the gardening magazine Great Gardens has sold out at the Village News stand three months in a row. Thus, we at Green Thumb Gardening Center can increase our profits by greatly expanding the variety of vegetable seeds we stock for gardeners this coming spring."
WORDS: 425
TIME: 00:50:00
DATE: 2010/7/7 11:38:35
In this argument, the author claims that their company should amplify the variety of vegetable seeds, with the expanding market of the consumers' gardening themselves. This assertion seems logical at the first glance, as we probe into it, we'll find out large quantity of logic flaws hidden in this argument.
The threshold problem is that the reasonableness of the evidence the author offered is quite questionable. One problem with the argument is that it assumes that the nationwide survey about consumers' dissatisfaction from the supermarket applies equally to this suburban town, where Green Thumb Gardening Center is located. Yet this might not be the case, for a variety of possible reasons. Perhaps the climate of the whole nation turned severe, causing fresh vegetables deteriorated unavoidably. However, this small place may not the case, with fine weather, their vegetables cannot be fresher any more. Or perhaps, this town is famous for its green stuff cultivating, and export their agriculture products to the country. The residents plant without destination, leading the quality going down and displeasing the nationwide customers. So they would refer to reducing their gardening amounts rather than expanding.
Another problem that weakens the logic of this argument is that it was mentioned in the passage a kind of gardening magazine was sold out in three months. While, the details of the magazine were never raised up. What if it concentrates on the art of gardening management? The sales volume is invisible neither, so we can’t figure out the actual extend the gardening is accepted locally.
Before I come out of my final conclusion, it’s necessary to point out the last flaw involved in this argument, the writer asserted dogmatically, that only if they expand the variety of the vegetable seeds, they’ll make innumerable profits as return. We seldom know whether the competitors output is already abundant enough, whether the residents only prefer a few types, whether the environment is appropriate to all the vegetables. Without researching all these above, profits are far from being ensured.
To sum up, the arguer fails to substantiate his claim that they will make money by selling varied vegetable seeds, because the evidence cited in the analysis does not lend strong support to what the arguer maintains. To make this argument more convincing, the author would have to provide more information with regard to authorized local surveys. Additionally, he would have to demonstrate the prospect of their commercial operation. Therefore, if the argument had included the given factors discussed above, it would have been more insightful and logically acceptable.
注:刚刚开始起步,所以时间没有严格按照规定的时间,请见谅。大家用力拍!! |
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