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本帖最后由 fany_5042 于 2010-8-6 23:04 编辑
有拍必回!
TOPIC:ARGUMENT78 - The following appeared in a letter to the editor of anarchaeological magazine.
"Archaeologistsexcavated(挖掘)acave that had been inhabited by prehistoric people for thousands of years.These people hunted wild animals, many of whose bones were found at levelscorresponding to different times of habitation. Most of the bones at the oldestlevels, over 40,000 years old, were from a deerspecies whose modern-day descendants are known to prefer woodland habitats,whereas most of the bones at more recent levels, dating from 30,000 to 10,000years ago, were from a gazelle specieswhose modern-day descendants are known to prefer grasslands. We can thusconclude that the climate of the area changed dramatically between 40,000 and30,000 years ago, causing the terrain to change from woodland tograssland."
Inthis letter, the writer concludesthat the weather pattern changed dramatically in the area sometime between30,000 years ago and 20,000 years ago, thus causing the terrain to change fromwoodland to grassland. To substantiate his view, the writer gives examples concerningtwo species that are generally believed to reside duringthe time period mentioned. By arguing that their descendants today havedifferent preferencesfor habitats, the writer assumes that they also possessed these differentpreferences and uses this as an evidence to substantiate his assumption thatweather pattern here changed sometime between 30,000 years ago and 20,000 yearsago. However, I have found several flaws in his line of reasoning.
Tobegin with, the arguer merely bases his assumption on the findings from a cave.And yet we're not sure whether this cave can be representative of the overallcondition of ancient residents here.
Inthe absence of more evidences that can illustrate the representativeness of thecave, we cannot taken it for granted that the cave found in the place can berepresentative of it.
Secondly,by pointing out that ancient people here made a living by hunting animals forfood, the writer is telling us, no matter whether his aware of this or not,that the bones found here belong to the animals that have been hunted here, inthe place in question. However, close scrutiny reveals another two flaws. Onone hand, without firm evidence to prove that these bones belong to the animalshunted, we have good reason to believe that they might be the goods that havebeen traded to the people living here by some other tribes. On the other hand,granted that they're actually acquired by ancient local residents from huntinganimals here, we still don't know whether they really belong to the animals inquestion. Since the writer provides no evidence to rectify these two flaws, the argument isfurther rendered unconvincing.
Thirdly,granted that all the flaws above mentioned are rectified (that the cave foundcan be representative of the overall condition, the bones found in the cavereally belong to the two kinds of animals in question), the conclusion is stillflawed in that it fails to take into consideration the fact that many factors relatedto animals' choice of habitats might have changed dramatically during the longtime span mentioned in the argument. Then it is entirely possible the deertoday, for example, that prefer woodland might not be so 30,000 years ago.Climate changes, geographical changes that might force them to change theirhabitat choice from something else to woodland in search of food and water canbe the other possible explanations, which is to saythey might not prefer woodland long time ago. To be specific, we have goodreason to believe, in the absence of evidence to prove not, that they used toprefer grassland as ideal habitat and this assumption would do nothing to justifythe author’s claim but to undermine its credibility.
Evenif we acknowledge that terrain here really changed from woodland to grasslandthousands of years ago, is it only because of the climate change or thecombination of several possible reasons? As we all know, changes in the terrainand the plants growing on itmight probably result from the climate change, since insufficient rain fallsmay cause the plants to die and thus change the geographical appearance of theland. And yet other possible reasons, including the sudden outburst of naturaldisasters like floods and volcano eruptions can also be explanations. Furthermore, it is entirelypossible that the animals here posed too much pressure on the naturalenvironment and what they were fed on hadbeen wiped out simply because too many of the animals eat too much of it, which leads to its extinction even before it canreproduce itself.
Tosum up, the article is flawed in that the assumption it is based on isunwarranted and necessary information is lacking to justify the author’s manyassumptions. To better persuade readers, he will have to prove that the cavecan be representative and that the bones found in the cave belong to the twokinds of animals in question. To further evaluate this article, I would alsolike to know whether any natural disasters that can totally reshape the topography(地貌)
happened during the time periodmentioned. |
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