我也贴一篇argu24。刚开始写，请多多指教

tomwangUID: 189768

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The following appeared in a memo from the president of Viva-Tech, a manufacturer of high-tech medical equipment.
'In order to reduce costs, we should close some of our existing small assembly plants and build a large central plant. Grandview would be an ideal location for this new plant. First, of the locations that we have considered, Grandview has the largest adult population, so that we will be able to staff our plant quickly and easily. Second, since the average wage earned by workers in Grandview is less than that in the other locations, we should be able to keep production costs low. Last, as an inducement for us to build there, Grandview's town council has offered to allow us to operate for the first three years without paying city taxes.'
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The president of Viva-Tech claims that they should choose Grandview as the place where their new large central plant will be built. This recommendation is based on the fact that Grandview has more adult population, lower average wage. In addition , Grandview's town council allow them to operate for the first three years without paying city taxes. Thus, the recommendation sounds reasonable at the first glance, however, a careful analysis will reveal some problems with this argument which is therefore unpersuasive as it stands.
First, the president assumes that to build a large central plant will surely result in cost's reduction. However, the argument provides no evidence to substantiate the assumption. It is quite possible that small assembly plants cost less money than large, central ones. For example, maybe the cost for transportation will increase due to the longer distance to the single plant. Unless the speaker can provide more concrete evidence concerning the different cost between small assembly plants and big central plants, the speaker’s conclusion can not be properly drawn.
Secondly, even if it will result in cost's reduction to build  a large central plant, the author further assumes that more adult population will make sure the plant to be finished more quickly and more easily. Yet this is not necessarily the case. Perhaps the adults of Grandview are busy with their own business, and no people would like to work for the building. Moreover, perhaps most of the adult population of the city is old people who can not work at all. Without ruling out these possible scenarios, the author can not rely on this evidence to support the recommendation.
Last but not least, it is unfair to conclude based on the fact that they are allowed to operate for the first three years without paying city taxes that Grandview is a good place to build the new plant. The argument provides no evidence that other cities does not also provide the similar or even better condition. Moreover, we are not informed how about the taxes of Grandview three years later. Perhaps they are much higher than other cities. If true, this fact may serve to refute the author's recommendation.
In sum, to persuade me that Viva-tech should close some of our existing small assembly plants and build a large central plant in Grandview, the author must supply clear evidence that a large central plant is indeed better than small assembly plants. The author must also provide evidence that Grandview has enough people to work for the new plant .Moreover, it would be necessary for the author to rule out all the above-mentioned possibilities before we could better evaluate the argument.

DriverEntryUID: 143979

总的来说还不错，反驳的比较有力，具体。句式也比较灵活。如果是限时完成的话，还是不错的 ：）

不过发贴时请注意格式，一定要是ARGUMENT24。。。。这样开头，目的是便于整理精华区。谢谢配合。

关于发贴格式，请看下面的文章：
https://bbs.gter.net/showthread.php?s=&threadid=208286

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tomwangUID: 189768

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