- 最后登录
- 2008-12-3
- 在线时间
- 0 小时
- 寄托币
- 885
- 声望
- 0
- 注册时间
- 2003-12-5
- 阅读权限
- 15
- 帖子
- 0
- 精华
- 0
- 积分
- 294
- UID
- 150982
- 声望
- 0
- 寄托币
- 885
- 注册时间
- 2003-12-5
- 精华
- 0
- 帖子
- 0
|
The following appeared in a memo from a budget planner for the City of Grandview.
'To avoid a budget deficit next year, the City of Grandview must eliminate its funding for the Grandview Symphony. Our citizens are well aware of the fact that while the Grandview Symphony Orchestra was struggling to succeed, our city government promised annual funding to help support its programs. Last year, however, private contributions to the Symphony increased by 200 percent, and attendance at the Symphony's concerts-in-the-park series doubled. The Symphony has also announced an increase in ticket prices for next year. Such developments indicate that the Symphony can now succeed without funding from city government and we can eliminate that expense from next year's budget. This action will surely prevent a budget deficit.'
The author concludes that without funding from the government, the Symphony can succeed and the government can also prevent a budget deficit, by providing the evidence of the increase of the attendance and the private contribution to the Symphony. However, the evidence is too weak to make the conclusion valid.没套路
First of all, the 200 percent increased private contributions do not necessarily mean that the Symphony can survive without government funding, for no evidence has been offered to establish the relationship between the two events.说的太隐讳,直接说明个人捐款不能满足需要 It is possible that other factors trigger more serious expenditure of the Symphony, such as renewing the instruments, purchasing expensive copyright of the composers and paying for the rent of stage and so on. If so, the increased private investment might not be enough for the Symphony to development.
Secondly, another phenomenon that the attendance at the Symphony's concerts-in the -park is doubled can hardly indicate that the Symphony can make a big profit. Without mentioning the original number of the attendance of the concert, one can not demonstrate that the increasing income of tickets can bring about a large profit to the Symphony, for it is possible that the attendance is still to rare to make money to the Symphony. At the same time, since traditionally Symphony performance should be on in the theater, the increasing attendance at the concerts-in-park does not illustrate that the normal performance can also attract many people, for the reason that the rent of opera house is expensive and distributed to everyone's ticket price, whose increase will possibly cause the decrease of attendance and thus bring loss to the Symphony.原文只说票价增加,没说利润,这一点很重要
Furthermore, even if these facts make a sense, the reasoning that government can prevent a budget deficit is also weakened by some flaws. There are numerous factors causing the budget deficit of a government, such as overmuch investment to some dispensable projects, contributions to develop industry after some terrible disasters, affection from the national finance and stock market and so forth. Compared with other factors, funding to the Symphony seems to take a slight part of the investment from government.做个比较,说明一下资助费用不至于让政府破产,这个论点很关键,应该驳斥
All in all, the assertion that government can avoid budget deficit by stopping the funding to the Symphony cannot be logically valid. Unless the author has addressed all the above-discussed issues, hardly can the conclusion be logically supported.
在增加几个套路,才好 |
|