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发表于 2005-7-19 16:29:19
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我觉得很多时候不用去考虑专业和背景。比如,题目中出现一个“would”,好,必是一个错误因果,或者错误假设。单纯从逻辑上考虑,这样看到了这样看似很bt的题,其实也没什么。(其实我写的不好,只是一个想法)
Here the speaker concludes that the Earth's oceans must derive from comets from the cosmos.To support this conclusion, the speaker firstly cites the fact that any water presented in the Earth as it war being formed out will inevitably evaporated because the great heat of the time that time. Then he or she claims that as the gravitation of the Earth is large enough to retain the evaporated water as the atmosphere, and eventually this water will falling as rain back to out planet. In fact, this argument suffers from problematic reasoning and a lack of solid evidence, which renders it unconvincing as it stands.
To begin with, the speaker seems to assume that there exists so great heat that it is able to evaporate the water from comets after the earth's gravitation become strong enough to hold the evaporated water and gases as a atmosphere. The mere evidence the speaker offered, with the purpose of substantiating the assumption above, is that the heat as Earth war being formed out war able to make entire planet molten. However, this evidence is far from persuasive. Without evidence to the contrary, it is rather possible that the earth had lost its considerable heat after it is large enough to form the needed gravitation. Moreover, common sense tells us that our planet is not as hot as what it was at the beginning of its formation. In short, without solid evidence that the Earth had enough heat to evaporate the water in its surface at the proper time, that is after the earth has sufficient gravitational energy, we can not accept the speaker's assertion that the water will evaporated when it arrived at the surface of the planet.
Furthermore, the argument provides no information to support that the number of comets is large enough to produce the Earth's oceans, or the evidence that the water in these comets is enough and suitable. As a matter of fact, there exist quite a few plausible scenarios which can undermine this argument. For instance, it is likely that the number of comets, even providing that all the comets are merely composed of water, is not sufficient enough to form the world's oceans. Also, we know nothing about the property of the water in these comets and it is equally probable that further chemical experiments, such as isotope analysis, will reveal that the water in these comets are entirely different with that in our oceans. To better convince us about the conclusion of this argument, the speaker should present some more information about this.
Finally, even granted the speaker furnishes solid evidence that the comets that stroked Earth are able to form the Earth's oceans, it is presumptuous to justify that this must be the case. In reality, the speaker fails to notice or selects to ignore quite a number of other possible alternatives which can explain the source of the Earth's oceans. Perhaps the Earth itself had enough water to form all the oceans just after its birth. Or perhaps the water war created by some other chemical reaction rather than the rain from atmosphere. In either case, the author can not safely draw the conclusion that the formation of oceans come from the comets.
In last analysis, a convincing argument must cast aside quite a few logical possibilities that can undermine its basis. The speaker fails to do this.
[ Last edited by echostate on 2005-7-20 at 17:37 ] |
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