Argument65 [Cracking小组第九次作业]欢迎猛拍

kexinyupiaoUID: 2250204

TOPIC: ARGUMENT65 - The following appeared in a memo from the president of a chain of cheese stores located throughout the United States.

"For many years all the stores in our chain have stocked a wide variety of both domestic and imported cheeses. Last year, however, the five best-selling cheeses at our newest store were all domestic cheddar cheeses from Wisconsin. Furthermore, a recent survey by Cheeses of the World magazine indicates an increasing preference for domestic cheeses among its subscribers. Since our company can reduce expenses by limiting inventory, the best way to improve profits in all of our stores is to discontinue stocking many of our varieties of imported cheese and concentrate primarily on domestic cheeses."


In the memo presented above, the president recommends that the best way to improve profits in all of their stores is to discontinue stocking imported cheese and concentrate mainly on domestic cheeses. To support the recommendation, the president claims that the five best-selling cheeses at the newest store were all domestic cheddar cheeses from Wisconsin. Beside, the president also cites a survey conducted recently by Cheeses of the World magazine, which shows an growing preference for domestic cheeses among its subscribers. However, close scrutiny reveals that the argument suffers from several logical fallacies.

To begin with, the president's recommendation is based on the assumption that limiting inventory can lead to the decline of expenses. In the memo, however, the president fails to rule out other possibilities that may lead to a increase of the expenses. A alternative is that stocking domestic cheese needs more space than before to the extent that the expenses on invertory has to increase. Beside, it is entirely possible, the material for making cheese begins to increase, or the expense using for transport starts to grow. If so, the president's assumption upon which the president makes the recommendation is groundless.

Secondly, the president assumes that the fact that the five best-selling cheeses at their newest store were all from Wisconsin is representative of the selling records from all of their stores. However, this is not necessarily the case. For instance, it is very likely that the residents living around the newest store prefer domestic cheddar cheeses, or they dislike the taste of the cheeses imported by that store. On the other hand, it could be possible that people from other places prefer imported cheese to home-made ones. As to the survey carried out by Cheeses of the World magazine, the indication that domestic cheeses become popular among its subscribers leads no strong support to the conclusion that people in the United States find domestic cheeses attractive. Further more, the president provides no information about how many people from how many countries have taken part in the survey. Unless the president can show enough evidence that people in the United State actually prefer home-made cheese rather than imported ones, I am still unconvinced merely by the memo presented above.

Finally, by claiming that discontinuing stocking imported cheeses and concentrating mainly on domestic cheeses at the same time is the best way to improve profits. However, the president fails to take other alternatives into account, such as making some attracting advertisement to draw attention from more people.

In conclusion, the president's recommendation is based on several assumptions which are not well supported by the memo. To support the recommendation, the president needs to get more information of the preference of people in the United State, and come up with more detailed information about related expenses.

yagagaUID: 2140053

TOPIC: ARGUMENT65 - The following appeared in a memo from the president of a chain of cheese stores located throughout the United States.

"For many years all the stores in our chain have stocked a wide variety of both domestic and imported cheeses. Last year, however, the five best-selling cheeses at our newest store were all domestic cheddar cheeses from Wisconsin. Furthermore, a recent survey by Cheeses of the World magazine indicates an increasing preference for domestic cheeses among its subscribers. Since our company can reduce expenses by limiting inventory, the best way to improve profits in all of our stores is to discontinue stocking many of our varieties of imported cheese and concentrate primarily on domestic cheeses."


In the memo presented above, the president recommends that the best way to improve profits in all of their stores is to discontinue stocking imported cheese and concentrate mainly on domestic cheeses. To support the recommendation, the president claims that the five best-selling cheeses at the newest store were all domestic cheddar cheeses from Wisconsin. Beside, the president also cites a survey conducted recently by Cheeses of the World magazine, which shows an growing preference for domestic cheeses among its subscribers. However, close scrutiny reveals that the argument suffers from several logical fallacies.开头太长了，没有必要，其实看下ETS的范文就知道其实这样写只能增加字数，不过，语言倒是很流畅

To begin with, the president's recommendation is based on the assumption that limiting inventory can lead to the decline of expenses. In the memo, however, the president fails to rule out other possibilities that may lead to an increase of the expenses. A alternative is that stocking domestic cheese needs more space than before to the extent that the expenses on inventory has to increase. Beside, it is entirely possible, the material for making cheese begins to increase, or the expense using for transport starts to grow. If so, the president's assumption upon which the president makes the recommendation is groundless.看到几个经典的模版台词，新东方的模版最好还是不要用，如果实在没有时间的话还是可以尝试的，但是有时间的话还是弄个自己的模版出来，毕竟ETS的人可能对模版已经不厌其烦，一个新颖的表述会很好

Secondly, the president assumes that the fact that the five best-selling cheeses at their newest store were all from Wisconsin is representative of the selling records from all of their stores. However, this is not necessarily the case. For instance, it is very likely that the residents living around the newest store prefer domestic cheddar cheeses, or they dislike the taste of the cheeses imported by that store. On the other hand, it could be possible that people from other places prefer imported cheese to home-made ones. As to the survey carried out by Cheeses of the World magazine, the indication that domestic cheeses become popular among its subscribers leads no strong support to the conclusion that people in the United States find domestic cheeses attractive逻辑还是不错，仍然是上面的问题
Further more, the president provides no information about how many people from how many countries have taken part in the survey. 这里要说明白究竟这个缺陷有什么样子的影响，要具体，不要泛泛的论述Unless the president can show enough evidence that people in the United State actually prefer home-made cheese rather than imported ones, I am still unconvinced merely by the memo presented above.

Finally, by claiming that discontinuing stocking imported cheeses and concentrating mainly on domestic cheeses at the same time is the best way to improve profits. However, the president fails to take other alternatives into account, such as making some attracting advertisement to draw attention from more people.这段还好

In conclusion, the president's recommendation is based on several assumptions which are not well supported by the memo. To support the recommendation, the president needs to get more information of the preference of people in the United State, and come up with more detailed information about related expenses.结尾一般
总起来说，逻辑是好的，但是语言有点模版化，中间的说理有点泛泛，具体的例子很重要，还有开头和结尾要简化，其实很多都是重复了，我可能拍得比较狠，呵呵，希望大家互相帮助，欢迎回拍