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143The following appeared as a letter to the editor of a national newspaper.
"Your recent article on corporate downsizing* in the United States is misleading. The article gives the mistaken impression that many competent workers who lost jobs as a result of downsizing face serious economic hardship, often for years, before finding other suitable employment. But this impression is contradicted by a recent report on the United States economy, which found that since 1992 far more jobs have been created than have been eliminated. The report also demonstrates that many of those who lost their jobs have found new employment. Two-thirds of the newly created jobs have been in industries that tend to pay above-average wages, and the vast majority of these jobs are full-time."
The statement of the letter seems sound at the first blush. A further analysis nevertheless indicating that it is unreasonable to take for granted that the impression of the recent article on corporate downsizing in the United States is misleading, and is contradicted on the report on the United States economy. In other words, the letter suffers from some illogical problems, which would render it from convincing us as it states.
Firstly, the argument of the letter is based on the recent report on the United States economy, which is lacking of necessary statistics and data, to prove the authentic and accurate of the report. Therefore, by comparing to the report, the arguer cannot surely claim that the article is misleading.
Secondly, given that the report is the scientific truth, it is also possible that the chances for those competent laid-off workers to get a new job are remote. If the population of the nation growth (and it always occurs), in spite of the fact that far more jobs have been created than have been eliminated, the number of employees would increase at the same time, which will probably prevent them from being employed. Thus, without ruling out this and other possible reasons may serve the employment, the arguer cannot convince us that more jobs have been left for the unemployed. .
Thirdly, the report demonstrates that many of those who lost their jobs have found new employment, nonetheless, among those people may not include that many competent workers of the article. Even if those people did get a new job, the report fails to show how long people spent on finding a new job, and whether the job is suitable for them, both of which are essential to refute the statement of the article. The report contains no such evidence that weakened arguer's argument.
Finally, the report rested on the consumption that two-thirds of the newly created jobs have been in industries that tend to pay above-average wages. There is no evidence in the report to prove that the competent workers are in the two-thirds. With the highly development of science and technique, employers would not be able to employ workers whose acquired technical is washed out. Moreover, even though they are in, and the wages are higher than the average ones, they may still face serious economic hardship. The level of people's life may improved, the increase wages may not compete with the purchase power. Hereon, the arguer cannot confidently to alert that the article is contradicted the statement of the report.
Based on the analysis of all those illogical and unreasonable evidence, the arguer cannot safely draw the conclusion of which is claimed in the letter on the basis of the report. To strengthen the argument, the author should present sufficient details and investigate scientific statistics, and ponder every possible factor that may leads to the employment.
[ 本帖最后由 hejielady 于 2007-6-26 17:09 编辑 ] |
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