［０８－６ｇ奋斗组］十三次作业 自己又修改一次的 提提意见把～谢！

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TOPIC: ARGUMENT117 - The following is a memo from the business manager of Valu-Mart stores.

"Over 70 percent of the respondents to a recent survey reported that they are required to take more work home with them from the workplace than they were in the past. Since Valu-Mart has not seen impressive sales in its office-supply departments in the past, we should take advantage of this work-at-home trend by increasing at all Valu-Mart stores the stock of home office machines such as printers, small copy machines, paper shredders, and fax machines. We will also increase stock of office supplies such as paper, pens, and staplers. With these changes, our office-supply departments will become the most profitable component of our stores."

At first glance, the conclusion that The Valu-Mart store should makes some changes on the office-supply departments seems unquestionable, but through carefully and insightfully reexaminated, there are several fallacies which weaken it.

Firstly, the sample of the survey which is quoted by the arguer is unconvincing. The survey just takes the respondents of whole participants who took part in the survey, but there are many participants who did not A their feedback. Undoubtedly ,maybe this part of people makes the majority of the whole participants. Also there is a possibility that they worked at office as usual and did not been required to take work home with them from the workplace at all or even less than usual. And even if the whole participant hold the same opinion like the most of the respondents, whether the amount of participant is large enough to represent the whole office-machines consumer is vague. Only the arguer present the details of the sample which is significant to determine whether the survey is convictive or not, I can believe this survey is validated.

Secondly, even though the sample is representative enough to indicate that the work-at-home trend is right, the arguer makes a unwarranted assumption that the more people work at home, the more need for home office machines. As we all know, many factors may influence the sales, such as the price of commodities, the needs, the band, and the emphasis which is put on the advertisement for propagandizing commodities(宣传力度？。。). And each factor may has different effects on it, and there is no certainty which is most essential to decide the situation of the sales. Maybe the customers take more account of the price. Beside this, no data to imply that which machine is needed. Probably printers are the bestseller at this moment, on the contrary, the small copy machines oversupplied. So should store more small copy machines or not must be concerned. Assuming that all the home office machines are all in largely needy, there are many other stores which sell them, no doubt, they will compete with Valu-Mart store to pursue more market. Maybe most of consumers prefer to buy these things in other stores or supermarket instead of Valu-Mart.

Last but not least, there is no evidence to show whether the store should to increase stock of offices supplies. The arguer does not provide any proof to support there is a need for office machines. Probably that the wants of office machines as usual, or even less, therefore this may causes the decrease of the sale of office machine, and leads to false decision-making which may demand more spending on storing the goods, then, cut down the store’s profits which may do harm to Valu-Mart.

In sum, in order to strengthen his/her statement, the arguer should solve the fallacies commented above.