argument109[Jet小组]第十五次作业

ellefrancaiUID: 2449693

TOPIC: ARGUMENT109 - The following appeared in a letter to the editor of the Maple City newspaper.

"Twenty years ago Pine City established strict laws designed to limit the number of new buildings that could be constructed in the city. Since that time the average housing prices in Pine City have increased considerably. Chestnut City, which is about the same size as Pine City, has over the past twenty years experienced an increase in average housing prices similar to Pine City, but Chestnut City never established any laws that limit new building construction. So it is clear that laws limiting new construction have no effect on average housing prices. So if Maple City were to establish strict laws that limit new building construction, these laws will have no effect on average housing prices."
WORDS: 484         TIME: 00:30:00          DATE: 2008-3-7 17:32:23

The argument appeared in a letter to the editor of the Maple City newspaper presented the viewpoint that if Maple City were to establish strict laws that limit new building construction, these laws will have no effect on average housing prices, which is based on the twenty-year experience of Pine City and Chestnut City. However, this argument is full of logical flaws and cannot convince me by all means.

Firstly, the experience of two cities used by the author as evidence to support his or her point that laws limiting new construction have no effect on average housing prices are not comparable at all since no detailed information were provided by the author, such as the population of these two cities etc.. It is entirely possible that the population of Chestnut City is much greater than that of Pine City although the sizes of them are about the same. Thus, although Chestnut City has not established strict laws to limit the number of new buildings, the average housing prices still rocketed for the huge and fast growing population which made the speed of building new houses can never meet the needs in Chestnut City.

Secondly, the arguer have concerned too little reasons of the increase in average housing prices since it is greatly possible that the average housing prices increased in Chestnut City is because of some extremely luxurious buildings are build in the city although few citizens can afford it. And these high-rank buildings are the exact cause who lifted the average housing prices in the city. Meanwhile, the increase of average housing prices is just because of the need are booming but no further new buildings are provided to residents for strict laws. In this case, the increase of average housing prices has nothing to do with the strict laws.

Finally, assuming that Pine City and Chestnut City both experienced a similar increase to each other in average housing prices, the arguer only provided the condition of the housing market of these two cities for past twenty years, which is far from enough for us to make right conclusion. Instead, the information of the average housing prices of Pine City are much more valuable for stud than the condition of Chestnut City. Since it is greatly possible when concerning the statistic materials before the law established twenty years ago, the average housing prices of Pine City were much higher than the highest price in past twenty years. And it shows the effect of these laws on average hosing prices.

In sum, the arguer made rush conclusion that if Maple City were to establish strict laws that limit new building construction, these laws will have no effect on average housing prices, which is based on dubious illustration limited materials. Instead of abandon the policy without further consideration, I suggest more research and design policy right according to its own situation of Maple City.