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处女作一篇 同主题写作第5期 Argument 65
首先感谢WDI小组以及GTER的朋友们对我的鼓励和帮助,本人English is so poor,且本文为处女作,必当错误百出,纰漏万千。
除了WDI小组热心的组长以及组员,也希望斑竹大人在闲暇之时抽空看下我的烂文一篇,请不吝赐教~
烂文如下,大家随便奚落。
Argument65.The following appeared in a memo from the president of a chain of cheese stores located throughout the United States.
"For many years all the stores in our chain have stocked a wide variety of both domestic and imported cheeses. Last year, however, the five best-selling cheeses at our newest store were all domestic cheddar cheeses from. Wisconsin. Furthermore, a recent survey by Cheeses of the World magazine indicates an increasing preference for domestic cheeses among its subscribers. Since our company can reduce expenses by limiting inventory, the best way to improve profits in all of our stores is to discontinue stocking many of our varieties of imported cheese and concentrate primarily on domestic cheeses."
In this argument, the arguer concludes that the best way to improve profits in all of their stores is to discontinue stocking many of their varieties of imported cheese and concentrate primarily on domestic cheeses. To strengthen this conclusion, the arguer provides a statistics about the increasing preference for domestic cheeses. At first glance, the argument might be somehow reasonable, but close scrutiny reveals it contains several unconvincing assumptions and is therefore unpersuasive.
First of all, the arguer's conclusion that domestic cheeses are more popular than imported cheeses depend on the assumption that the survey results are statistically reliable. Yet, the arguer offers no evidence to substantiate the assumption. The arguer must show that the subscribers are made up of different age groups, and that this sample is representative of all such buyers. Otherwise, the arguer cannot confidently draw any general conclusions about the popularity between domestic cheeses and imported cheeses, or about the statement that selling domestic cheeses will get better profits.
Secondly, even assuming that the statistics is accurate and authentic, the argument claims that the five best-selling cheeses at our newest store were all domestic cheddar cheeses from Wisconsin, and automatically assumes that selling domestic cheeses only can increase profits. However, that might be not the case. The arguer obviously overlooks other possible explanations for this phenomenon. Newest store does not reflect the whole situation of the selling profits. In addition, best-selling is not equivalent to largest-gaining. For example, perhaps the selling price is very low, or perhaps sales promotion activities are being held these days. Without ruling out such possibilities, I cannot accept the arguer's point of selling domestic cheeses instead of selling imported cheeses can gain better profits.
Thirdly, even if the recent trends in their newest store are attributable to that five best-selling cheeses at our newest store were all domestic cheeses, the arguer assumes too hastily that selling domestic cheeses only will continue to benefit the sales. The arguer has not accounted for the possibility that people has been bored of domestic cheeses since this year, or that domestic cheeses will lose its competitiveness in the future. Unless the arguer can convince me that these scenarios are unlikely I cannot accept the point that selling domestic cheeses in the future will make a fortune.
Finally, the arguer assumes that their company can reduce expenses by limiting inventory. However, the arguer entirely ignores some other choice, such that the selling price of imported cheeses might be much higher than domestic ones, which might achieve the same, even better effect. Further more, all the stores in their chain have stocked a wide variety of both domestic and imported cheeses for several years. It is difficult to change the existing conditions in a short period of time. Without thinking about these alternatives, we cannot accept the arguer's recommendation that discontinue stocking many of our varieties of imported cheese and concentrate primarily on domestic cheeses is the best one.
To sum up, the arguer's conclusion about improving profits is not well supported as it stands. To bolster it, the arguer must provide more evidence, such as more convincing statistics evidence and the following development of the stores. To better assess the problem, I would also need to know more information about how to keep a balance between domestic cheeses and imported cheeses to gain profits most. |
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