argument32...fantasy group....必回拍

foreveraUID：202035

TOPIC：ARGUMENT 42 - The following appeared in a proposal from the economic minister of the country of Paraterra.

"In order to strengthen its lagging economy, last year the government of the nearby country of Bellegea began an advertising campaign to promote ecologically sound tourism (ecotourism). This year the number of foreign visitors arriving at Bellegea's main airport doubled, and per capita income in Bellegea increased by ten percent. To provide more income for the population of Paraterra and also preserve the natural environment of our tiny country, we too should begin to promote ecotourism. To ensure that our advertising campaign is successful, we should hire the current director of Bellegea's National Tourism Office as a consultant for the campaign."
WORDS：466       TIME：上午 12:24:47          DATE：2005-9-5

Is the author's assertion that the government of Paraterra should hire the current director of Bellegea's National Tourism Office as a consultant for the advertising campaign reasonable or suspicious? In-depth scrutiny reveals that hastiness of the author seriously undermines the credibility of his argument and his logic suffers from several fallacies as follows.

Primarily, the author mistakes the simultaneity of the increasing income of Bellegea and its advertising campaign to promote ecotourism for the causality. As the author does not mention any other policies that Bellegea have legislated to promote its economy, I have enough reason to doubt that the increasing income and visitors are due to other reasons. For example, perhaps the government of Bellegea spends much effort to promote the environment condition; the visitors do not pay much attention to the advertisement, but are attracted by the improving environment condition. Under this circumstance, the so-called successful advertising campaign lends little support the author's claim.

Moreover, even grant that the increasing income and visitors in Bellegea results from its advertising campaign, the author unsuccessfully allege that Paraterra should copy Bellegea's example in light of the suspicious analogy. It is quite possible that the medium in Bellegea is far more advanced, most of its residents and the foreigner are able to have access to the advertising campaign. While, on the contrary, Paraterra, with poor medium condition, can not quickly spread its advertisement in their own country, let alone to the people in other countries. Therefore, the advertising campaign is unlikely to receive better result in Paraterra, and the simple copy Bellegea's example would not probably promote the economy of Paraterra.

In addition, concessively accepting the both aspects above, whether the current director of Bellegea's National Tourism Office is able to lead Paraterra to prosperity is still open to doubt. As common sense, the person who is not familiar with the condition of his working environment can not work with high efficiency. Thus, the very director would not go on with his success on the basis of acknowledging his working ability is the key to Bellegea's promotion. Further, simply presenting the successful case in Bellegea, the author fails to rule out other possibility that lead to its success, such as the great financial support of the government, the high working efficiency of the whole advertising group, and so forth. To this extent, merely contribute Bellegea's promotion to the work of the director is unfair.

To sum up, for the fallacies above the argument is far from convincing. And to better support his argument, the author needs to add some detailed information about: (1) the real reason that leads to the economic promotion in Bellegea;(2)the necessary comparison of the two country to substantiate the analogy;(3)the director can really lead Paraterra to prosperity.

回拍留连接~~~

[ Last edited by forevera on 2005-9-5 at 21:47 ]

seeseafastUID：127774

Is the author's assertion that the government of Paraterra should hire the current director of Bellegea's National Tourism Office as a consultant for the advertising campaign reasonable or suspicious? [not good even meet the syntax] In-depth scrutiny reveals that hastiness of the author seriously undermines the credibility of his argument and his logic suffers from several fallacies as follows.

[The author confirms current director of Bellegea's National Tourism Office is the favoriate choice to the consultant for the advertising campaign. Is it ture? In-depth scrutiny reveals that...] it's may be better, i think. trying to write it simple and easy to be understand is good.

mmeiwUID：2101523

Is the author's assertion that the government of Paraterra should hire the current director of Bellegea's National Tourism Office as a consultant for the advertising campaign reasonable or suspicious? In-depth scrutiny reveals that hastiness of the author seriously undermines the credibility of his argument and his logic suffers from several fallacies as follows. (文中的这句你觉得没问题吗？To provide more income for the population of Paraterra and also preserve the natural environment of our tiny country, we too should begin to promote ecotourism)

Primarily, the author mistakes the simultaneity of the increasing income of Bellegea and its advertising campaign to promote ecotourism for the causality. As the author does not mention any other policies that Bellegea have legislated to promote its economy, I have enough reason to doubt that the increasing income and visitors are due to other reasons...你是说收入和游客增多不一定是——广告——的结果？主题是广告和生态旅游之间的因果错误啊？可收入和游客都是旅游带来的吗？ For example, perhaps the government of Bellegea spends much effort to promote the environment condition; the visitors do not pay much attention to the advertisement, but are attracted by the improving environment condition. Or perhaps, ..？怎么感觉没写完 under this circumstance, the so-called successful advertising campaign lends little support the author's claim.

Moreover, even grant that the increasing income and visitors in Bellegea results from its advertising campaign, the author unsuccessfully allege that Paraterra should copy Bellegea's example in light of the suspicious analogy. It is quite possible that the medium in Bellegea is far more advanced, most of its residents and the foreigner are able to have access to the advertising campaign. While, on the contrary, Paraterra, with poor medium condition, can not quickly spread its advertisement in their own country, let alone to the people in other countries. Therefore, the advertising campaign is unlikely to receive better result in Paraterra, and the simple copy Bellegea's example would not probably promote the economy of Paraterra...恩，这个好！..

In addition, concessively accepting the both aspects above, whether the current director of Bellegea's National Tourism Office is able to lead Paraterra to prosperity is still open to doubt. As common sense, the person who is not familiar with the condition of his working environment can not work with high efficiency. Thus, the very director would not go on with his success on the basis of acknowledging his working ability is the key to Bellegea's promotion. Further, simply presenting the successful case in Bellegea, the author fails to rule out other possibility that lead to its success, such as the great financial support of the government, the high working efficiency of the whole advertising group, and so forth. To this extent, merely contribute Bellegea's promotion to the work of the director is unfair. In conclusion, the author ..怎么回事？

To sum up, for the fallacies above the argument is far from convincing. And to better support his argument, the author needs to add some detailed information about: (1) the real reason that leads to the economic promotion in Bellegea;(2)the necessary comparison of the two country to substantiate the analogy;(3)the director can really lead Paraterra to prosperity.

你的重点在批驳广告的作用上， 我的在批驳生态旅游的作用，我觉得文中没有给出证据说收入增加是开发生态旅游的结果。
个人认为应将两者都批一下。:)

[ Last edited by mmeiw on 2005-9-5 at 21:10 ]

foreveraUID：202035

我觉得广告是否能带来收入的提高才是主要的问题。。。

weiweizhuUID：179352

Is the author's assertion that the government of Paraterra should hire the current director of Bellegea's National Tourism Office as a consultant for the advertising campaign reasonable or suspicious? In-depth scrutiny reveals that hastiness of the author seriously undermines the credibility of his argument and his logic suffers from several fallacies as follows.

Primarily, the author mistakes the simultaneity of the increasing income of Bellegea and its advertising campaign to promote ecotourism for the causality. As the author does not mention any other policies that Bellegea have legislated to promote its economy, I have enough reason to doubt that the increasing income and visitors are due to other reasons（觉得这句话头尾有点重复）. For example, perhaps the government of Bellegea spends much effort to promote the environment condition; the visitors do not pay much attention to the advertisement, but are attracted by the improving environment condition. Or perhaps, under this circumstance, the so-called successful advertising campaign lends little support the author's claim.

Moreover, even grant that the increasing income and visitors in Bellegea results from its advertising campaign, the author unsuccessfully allege that Paraterra should copy Bellegea's example in light of the suspicious analogy. It is quite possible that the medium in Bellegea is far more advanced, most of its residents and the foreigner are able to have access to the advertising campaign（你好像理解错了吧，我觉得这里的campaign应该是广告活动而不是广告比赛啊）. While, on the contrary, Paraterra, with poor medium condition, can not quickly spread its advertisement in their own country, let alone to the people in other countries. Therefore, the advertising campaign is unlikely to receive better result in Paraterra, and the simple copy Bellegea's example would not probably promote the economy of Paraterra.

In addition, concessively accepting the both aspects above, whether the current director of Bellegea's National Tourism Office is able to lead Paraterra to prosperity is still open to doubt. As common sense, the person who is not familiar with the condition of his working environment can not work with high efficiency. Thus, the very director would not go on with his success on the basis of acknowledging his working ability is the key to Bellegea's promotion（这句有点怪，改一下吧Thus, the very director would not go on with his success without acknowledging that his working ability is the key to Bellegea's promotion不知道有没有理解错你的意思）. Further, simply presenting the successful case in Bellegea, the author fails to rule out other possibility that lead to its success, such as the great financial support of the government, the high working efficiency of the whole advertising group, and so forth. To this extent, merely contribute Bellegea's promotion to the work of the director is unfair. In conclusion, the author

To sum up, for the fallacies above the argument is far from convincing. And to better support his argument, the author needs to add some detailed information about: (1) the real reason that leads to the economic promotion in Bellegea;(2)the necessary comparison of the two country to substantiate the analogy;(3)the director can really lead Paraterra to prosperity

嗯，我把你得思路理一遍
你先说经济增长不是源于有效的关于生态旅游的广告，注意，中心词是广告
第二个错你说的错误类比是两地媒体的广告宣传能力上的不同，好像不对把，我觉得应该是两地旅游资源的不同，文中说了P只是一个tiny country
第三段说B的广告公司不一定适合于P，这是不是可以归到错误类比上呢

因为大体的方向和我的很不一样，所以我怎么看都觉得别扭
但是～～～楼主的语言和写作速度我是崇拜得五体投地得

foreveraUID：202035

就因为tiny才应该是技术上的差别。。。我觉得作者是在说服我们同意采取类似的广告策略。。。主要攻击这个会更好的证明作者观点的错误。。。。

而且第3段也不是说B的广告公司不一定适合于P。。。这不是错误类比。。。应该是hasty generlization的问题。。。。。