argument48 fitness！

小室黄瓜UID：2155213

ARGUMENT 48
- The following appeared in a newspaper article published in the country of Corpora.

"Twenty years ago, one half of all citizens in Corpora met the standards for adequate physical fitness as then defined by the national advisory board on physical fitness. Today, the board says that only one quarter of all citizens are adequately fit and suggests that spending too much time using computers may be the reason. But since overall fitness levels are highest in regions of Corpora where levels of computer ownership are also highest, it is clear that using computers has not made citizens less physically fit. Instead, as shown by this year's unusually low expenditures on fitness-related products and services, the recent decline in the economy is most likely the cause, and fitness levels will improve when the economy does."
TOPIC：ARGUMENT 48 - The following appeared in a newspaper article published in the country of Corpora.

"Twenty years ago, one half of all citizens in Corpora met the standards for adequate physical fitness as then defined by the national advisory board on physical fitness. Today, the board says that only one quarter of all citizens are adequately fit and suggests that spending too much time using computers may be the reason. But since overall fitness levels are highest in regions of Corpora where levels of computer ownership are also highest, it is clear that using computers has not made citizens less physically fit. Instead, as shown by this year's unusually low expenditures on fitness-related products and services, the recent decline in the economy is most likely the cause, and fitness levels will improve when the economy does."
WORDS：519         TIME：0:30:00          DATE：2006-2-27

In this argument, the arguer make a conclusion by a series reasons that is through excluding the possibility of time using computers and the decreas of expenditure of fitness-related products and service, the real reason for people's less fitness is the depressed economy. This analysis seems plausible at first glance, nevertheless for further consideration, it is not cogent  and the conclusion is unconvincing.

Firstly, the argur concerns the relationship between the time using computers and people's less fitness and through a fact he assumes that people's less fitness than twenty years ago is not because of the more time using computers. This is unconving for the reason he use only one point but cover the whole possibility. On the one hand, the ownership does not equal to time of using computers.   Corpora has the highest level of computer ownership but that does not mean they  use the computers for longest time. So this example that the argur cites back up his first conclusion that the time using computers is not the real reason for people's less fitness is not believable. On the other hand, the change of people's condition of health level and the fitness in the twentiy years may be a usual fact that means it is natural development. Twenty years give a lot of time for changing, in which period the population of the country ,the weather and even the disease may be the leading contribution to people's less fitness. So the it may has relation with the time  using computers and may not have the relation,but what can be confirm is that the analying process should not be as the argur's.

Then, the argur assumes that it is becaus of the decreasing expenditure of fitness-related products and service that the real reason which give rise to people's less fitness is the economy, which has some faults as well. For one thing, it is hasty to conclude for the reason that less expenditure of the product and service does equal to ecnomic depress but may possibally be people's dissatisfying with them and their quality of seivice and produts. What's more the other factors that do good for their fitness and health without using these products may be a reason for people's not refer to the products but not because of economy. As an illustration, the sports such as running, swimming, climing and also skating are good for becoming more fitness while do not have to use any fitness-related products. The more activities of people’s joining in sports the economy level may become higher.

In sum, if we want to find our the real reason for the people’s less fitness, what really need to consult should firstly refer to people’s own health condition. Then we can start to find the out factor that have relation with people’s fitness. That is to say from people’s own condition, we have to concern the change of their health and daily lives, then to find what contribute to these series of changes, which does not like the arger’s way of analyzing that hastily refer  to a certain change of the our environment.