Argument 6

july6thUID: 202569

题目：ARGUMENT 6 - The following was written as a part of an

application for a small business loan by a group of developers in the

city of Monroe.

"A jazz music club in Monroe would be a tremendously profitable

enterprise. Currently, the nearest jazz club is 65 miles away; thus,

our proposed club, the C Note, would have the local market all to

itself. Plus, jazz is extremely popular in Monroe: over 100,000 people

attended Monroe's jazz festival last summer, several well-known jazz

musicians live in Monroe, and the highest-rated radio program in Monroe

is 'Jazz Nightly,' which airs every weeknight. Finally, a nationwide

study indicates that the typical jazz fan spends close to $1,000 per

year on jazz entertainment. It is clear that the C Note cannot help but

make money."
提纲：
1，根据竞争对手比较远来判断C Note会赢得市场太武断。
2，根据作者的表述不能判断jazz很流行。
3，1000刀的数据不一定有说服力。

The argument, which analyses the possibility to build a jazz music club

in Monroe, is well-presented, but not thoroughly well-reasoned. the

statement that follows, merely based on unfounded assumption, draws a

conclusion that, the jazz music club, C Note, would be a tremendously

profitable enterprise. However, this does not constitute a logical

argument in favor of its conclusion and fails to provide compelling

support making this argument sound.


First of all, it is presumptuous to assume that the C Note would have

the local market all to itself according to the distance between its

opponent and the downtown district. It is entirely possible that, the

jazz customers are used to hang out in the old club, even though it is

65 miles away. Besides that, what decides the profit is not only the

condition of opponent, but the condition of itself, which contains the

decoration of the club, the service, as well as the ability of

management. As a result, there is no compelling reasons to draw that

the C Note would have the local market easily.


Secondly, the argument, jazz is extremely popular in Monroe, which

rests on the assumption that, over 100,000 people attended the jazz

festival last summer and several well-known musicians live there. If

this is not the case, it is entirely possible that, 100,000 people is

just a small amount of the gross population in Monroe. Even Monroe does

not have a large population, it is also common to take part in a

ceremonious festival for people there, which proves the amount of

people attending the festival is not convictive. It is also ridiculous

to judge the popularity of jazz in Monroe by some musicians living

there. Perhaps, what attract these musicians is not the atmosphere of

jazz, but the nature environment.


Finally, even assuming that the typical jazz fan spends close to $1,000

per year on jazz entertainment, the arguer cannot conclude that, C Note

would make a lot of money from them. To begin with, the author provides

no evidence that the study's results are statistically reliable. In

order to establish a strong correlation between the nationwide

statistics in study and the factual situation in Monroe, the study

sample must be sufficient in representative of the population in

Monroe. However, the nationwide statistics cannot represent that of

Monroe. On the other hand, the expenditure of jazz fans is not always

spent on the clubs, and CDs, tapes are other possibilities.


In sum, the argument is logically flawed and therefore unconvincing as

it stands. To better evaluate the possibility to build a jazz club in

Monroe, I need more information about the exact situation of C Note,

the popularity of jazz and the comsuming ability of jazz fans there.