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Arg71. Copper occurs in nature mixed with other minerals and valuable metals in ore, and the proportion of copper in the ore can vary considerably. Until fairly recently, the only way to extract pure copper from ore was by using a process that requires large amounts of electric energy, especially if the proportion of copper in the ore is low. New copper-extracting technologies can use up to 40 percent less electricity than the older method to process the same amount of raw ore, especially when the proportion of copper in the ore is high. Therefore, we can expect the amount of electricity used by the copper-extraction industry to decline significantly.
Time: 1hour20min Words:496
提纲:
1. 新旧方法对比时,没有说明铜矿石的含量及铜的产量。
2. 新方法省电的前提不明确。
3.新方法是否能够运用于实际还值得考虑。
In this argument, the arguer cited that the amount of electricity utilized by the copper-extraction industry will drop dramatically, due to the new copper-extracting technologies. In order to support the assertion, a contrast of the new and old technologies is given. Nevertheless, the evidence the author provided is insufficient to support the conclusion, and the conclusion is a little hasty.
First of all, the author's conclusion depend on the assumption that the new copper-extracting technologies use up to 40 percent less electricity than the older method to process the same amount of raw ore, especially when the proportion of copper in the ore is high. However, on one hand, the contrast is beyond the condition that the two methods process the same amount of raw ore. But how about the proportion of copper in the ore? How about the amount of the extracted copper on that condition? The author doesn't tell us. Supposed much fewer copper were produced by using the new technology. Even though it saved electricity, it might consume more electricity when extracting the same amount of copper compared with the old technology. Then the total amount of electricity used by the copper-extraction wouldn’t be declined, either.
On the other hand, it is said that the new method saves electricity, especially when the proportion of copper in the ore is high. Otherwise, we don't know how much electricity consumed when the proportion of copper in the ore is low. The author only tells us the tradition technology requires large amounts of electric energy when the proportion is low. And when the proportion of copper in the ore is different, the contrast of the two kind of technologies' consumed electric energy is meaningless. On comparing which kind of technology can save electricity, both the amount of copper ore and the proportion of copper in the ore should be the same, moreover, the amount of extracted copper also should be taken into account. After considering all the factors, we can make a creditable conclusion that the new method can save electricity.
Even if the arguer's assumption comes into existence, the possibility of the new method's employment is still doubtful. As it's known to all there are many things should be considered before a new technology is able to be used in the industry producing, such as the cost and complexity of the technology. If it is not practicable, or it is too costly in most of copper-extraction companies, the technology won't be widely employed by copper-extraction enterprises. So the amount of electricity used by the whole industry won't drop dramatically. It seems that the author is a little hasty to make such conclusion, before demonstrating the possibility of the new method's employment.
To sum up, without ruling out the above possibilities, it is impossible to assess the conclusion based upon it. To make the argument more convincing, the arguer would have to take into account the given factors discussed above, so that it would be creditable.
[ 本帖最后由 allengtr 于 2006-7-14 22:29 编辑 ] |
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