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TOPIC: ARGUMENT 4 - The following was posted on an Internet real estate discussion site.
"Of the two leading real estate firms in our town-Adams Realty and Fitch Realty-Adams is clearly superior. Adams has 40 real estate agents. In contrast, Fitch has 25, many of whom work only part-time. Moreover, Adams' revenue last year was twice as high as that of Fitch, and included home sales that averaged $168,000, compared to Fitch's $144,000. Homes listed with Adams sell faster as well: ten years ago, I listed my home with Fitch and it took more than four months to sell; last year, when I sold another home, I listed it with Adams, and it took only one month. Thus, if you want to sell your home quickly and at a good price, you should use Adams."
WORDS: 330 TIME: 上午 12:30:00 DATE: 2006-7-20
There several problems in this argument in some crucial facets. Mainly, the arguer's statement is based on an incomplete comparison, namely selected comparison. In addition, the arguer commits a fallacy of hasty generalization. Next, I will demonstrate these fallacies one by one.
To begin with, the arguer fails to convince us that A is better than F in the condition of their company. Firstly, the number of staff in a company is not the determination that can bespeak its real power. Perhaps, the agents in A are all inefficient ones in reality; or they are not committed to their company; or they are halfhearted in their jobs. Secondly, the revenue last year speak little about the future condition of the company A. It is likely that F is undergoing a reform that can improve the level of its business. And the company A is undergoing a internal conflict between the director and some competent agents. More likely, F has invest their income into the market but A does not do like this. In addition, the average value of home sales lends little support to the power of A's company. It is likely that the company A has sold out some relative good homes, but they cannot sell out the worse ones, and then they gets a seemingly high average home sales. If it is this case, and F has sold out those homes which are not very good for their location or for their too many years since being built, this will appropriately demonstrate the efficiency of F rightly.
In addition, even if ten years ago, A is more competent than F, there is no guarantee that today it is still that qualified. Moreover, it is more likely that the home the arguer sold ten years ago are a dilapidated home, and there no one would like to buy it; meanwhile, the home last year he listed with Adams is a new one and the position is , so that |
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