argument190 51互助小组第5次作业 by confused

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In this argument, the author claims that Glenville Summer Concert series should performance more modern music, especially those composed by Richerts, which will consequently increase attendance at the concerts. To justify his assertion, the arguer draws a series of evidence and assumptions. However, heedful inspection of the reasoning reveals that it is logically flawed in several critical aspects.

The first point is the argument assumes that the number of purchased advance tickets applies equally to the actual audience. Yet this might not be this case, for a variety of possible reasons. Perhaps it is gradually found that the tickets are not so tight that they can be bought easily a few hours before the concert will begin. Thus, the listeners from other towns may prefer to buy the tickets at the same day as they come to the concert. If it is true, the number of the actual attendants increasing is equally possible. Therefore, we could not tell that the concerts lack of community support just because of the decline of purchased advanced tickets.

In the second place, the arguer falsely fabricates a causal link between the decline of number of sold tickets and the choice of music. It is entirely possible that it is the unpredictable whether that results in the decrease of purchased advance tickets. The number of people who did not attend the concerts in bad weather may be the very number reduced. Common sense tell us bad weather such as heavy rain and hurricane brings a lot of problems including traffic jams, less secure driving and so on. Also, it usually brings in the bad mood to many people, accordingly frustrated their ideas of appreciating the concerts. In addition, it is also possible that a similar, even better in the style, contains, price, stage arrangement and advertisement, music festival was being hold at the same time in a nearby town, which may have attracted some of Glenville Summer Concert series’ auditors. Therefore, without providing more detailed evidence, the editorial can not attribute the decline to the choice of music.


Finally, even if it is the choice of music that leads to weakening community support, the author can not conclude that this trend will be turned by featuring more modern music, especially music composed by Richerts. However, if the majority of its fans are older adults or other nostalgic persons, in a generally way they may prefer classical music to pop one. Moreover, even though the residents like modern music most, Richerts’ music can be definitely popular at the concerts. It is very likely that people who love listening the recordings are reluctant to participate the live concerts, which obviously will cost much more than buying recordings.

In sum, according to the analysis above, the argument is unconvincing as it stands. To strengthen the recommendation, the editor should offer minute evidence on the exact trend of the number of attendance at the concerts and the preference about the concerts of the listeners