Argument51 【SWEETBOX小组】第5次作业 by mayiming

mym1102UID: 2326718

======================Argument 51==================
51The following appeared in a medical newsletter.

"Doctors have long suspected that secondary infections may keep some patients from healing quickly after severe muscle strain. This hypothesis has now been proved by preliminary results of a study of two groups of patients. The first group of patients, all being treated for muscle injuries by Dr. Newland, a doctor who specializes in sports medicine, took antibiotics regularly throughout their treatment. Their recuperation time was, on average, 40 percent quicker than typically expected. Patients in the second group, all being treated by Dr. Alton, a general physician, were given sugar pills, although the patients believed they were taking antibiotics. Their average recuperation time was not significantly reduced. Therefore, all patients who are diagnosed with muscle strain would be well advised to take antibiotics as part of their treatment."

In this argument ,the arguer conclude that all patients who are diagnosed with muscle strain would be well avised to take antibiotics as part of their treatment.To support his view ,the arguer cites the evidence that,a group of patience who took antibiotics regularly throughout their treatment have a 40 percent shorter average recuperation time than typically expected while another group treated with sugar pills,hose average recuperation time was not signicant reduced.Unfortunately the arguer fail to consider several important concerns which may seriously undermine the argument.
First of all,the statistics is too vague for one to justiy its reality Without the exact number of  patients of each group, their healthy condition before receiving the treatment,and some other aspect that may effect their recovery such as,the habit of diet,living standard,career,it is hard or even impossible to reach the arguer’s conclusion.It is very likely that ,patients treated by Dr. Newland are athletes who develop strong bodis and recovery quickly,while patients of Dr.Alton are normal citizens .In that condition the 40 percent quiker means nothing but misleading.
Secondly,recuperation time does not mean everything ,if the arguer would not give the standard of what is called recuperation,I will keep my words on the credibility of the experiment.It may have thousand way of define recuperation like the way we define healthy.A man may win a champion in tennis while he suffers cancer,no one would think he is healthy,therefore it is not cogent that we define healthy only as the ability to do sports.Different treatment focus on difference aspect of recuperation,some standard of recuperation may give a upper hand to antibiotics and against sugar pills.   It is critical to know the standard of recuperation to evalue the effect of the two medical treatment.
Last but not least,there are also some other small fact the argurer fail to take into count,such as whether it would have a side effect to take antibiotic after the treatment, what is the effect of proper exercise may have on different treatment.
In sum,the arguer ,who take it for granted that recuperaion time means effect of treatment ,commit a fallacy of oversimplifiaction of the standard of recuperaion and the argument lacks credibility because the arguer fail to establish a casual relationship between taking antibiotics and shoter recuperation.To improve the argument ,the arguer need to explore more details on the advanatage of taking antibiotics in healing musle strain and more information about the experiment.
(word 400,time 50m)

crossrainbow20UID: 2337964

I leave my qq here ,hope u may add me to yr friend list.qq 44960490, we may communicate on GRE's writing