argument220 V6战队 8.28

wineyreUID：2106739

------题目------
The following appeared in an article in a magazine for writers.
'A recent study showed that in describing a typical day's conversation, people make an average of 23 references to watching television and only 1 reference to reading fiction. This result suggests that, compared with the television industry, the publishing and bookselling industries are likely to decline in profitability. Therefore, people who wish to have careers as writers should acquire training and experience in writing for television rather than for print media.'
------正文------
In this argument, the author suggests that people who wish to have careers as writers should acquire training and experience in writing for television rather than for print media. However, based on unreliable result of the study and ungrounded assumptions, the conclusion made by author is unwarranted.

To begin with, the result of the study cannot be relied on. In order to get a correct result, the study should last for a long period. No detailed information about people involved in the study is offered, including the ages, sexes and professions. It is possible that the target of the study is just young people who are generally more interested in watching television than old ones. Or the target of the study is just conducted in a small area, which cannot represent the whole nation.

Secondly, even if the result of the study can be trusted, people prefer to watch television than read fiction does not imply that writers who write for television can earn more money than those for print media. People might be more interested in watching news programs or talk shows, but not situation comedies. Additionally, even if people like situation comedies, only good works can attracts their attention. Moreover, the number of people who watch television has no direct link to the income of the writers who write for television. In fact, the number of people who watch television is just related to the profit of television stations. It is television stations to buy situation comedies from directors and actors, who pay for the works of writers.

Thirdly, although more people prefer to watch television than reading fiction, no evidence shows that the publishing and bookselling industries are likely to decline in profitability. It is possible that although the percentage of people who read fictions decreases, the actual number of people reading fictions increases because the population increases. Thus more people buy fictions from bookstores than past. In addition, the publishing and bookselling industries do not just include selling fictions. There are also many other forms of publishes, such as scientific papers, textbooks, dictionaries, newspapers and so on. No evidence shows that the selling of those works will decrease also. And the average price per book may increase as the quality of the works is better than before. Thus, it is still possible for writers who write for print media to earn the same amount of money as those writers who write for television.

Last but not least, the income of a writer no matter writing for television or for the print media, is largely depends on the personal writing skills but not what careers they choose. For good works, directors would find the writers of them to revise to fit directors' requirement. Thus, it is not so important for a good writer to choose which career, but the inspiration and the skills have closer relationship with a writer's income.

In sum, taking into account all logical fallacies discussed above, the reasons used to support the conclusion cannot be relied on. To better evaluate the argument, the author should convince us that the result of the study is reliable and the income of the writers writing for print media is decreasing in the past few years.

dinddind2003UID：196353

不愧是作文6分的战友，现在对Argu有新的认识了