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Argument117 第1篇 让砖头来得更猛烈些吧!
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作者:寄托家园作文版普通用户 共用时间:43分钟 455 words
从2005年7月4日17时33分到2005年7月4日18时16分
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The following is a memo from the business manager of Valu-Mart stores.
'Over 70 percent of the respondents to a recent survey reported that they are required to take more work home with them from the workplace than they were in the past. Since Valu-Mart has not seen impressive sales in its office-supply departments in the past, we should take advantage of this work-at-home trend by increasing at all Valu-Mart stores the stock of home office machines such as printers, small copy machines, paper shredders, and fax machines. We will also increase stock of office supplies such as paper, pens, and staplers. With these changes, our office-supply departments will become the most profitable component of our stores.'
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Merely based on several unwarranted assumptions and dubious evidence, the author concluded that through the changes of increasing stock of office machines and supplies, our office-supply department will bring most profits for our Vale-Mart stores. At first glance, the argument appears to be somewhat convincing. However, close scrutiny of the argument reveals that the author provides neither any compelling evidence to make the argument sound nor a logical organization in favor of the conclusion.
Firstly, the survey cited by the author is too vague to be informative. The claim does not indicate who conducted the survey, who responded, or how the survey was conducted. Until these questions are answered, the results are worthless as evidence for the measure that with the development of the work-at-home trend, our Vale-Mart stores should increase the stock of home office machines and supplies in purpose of make more profits.
Another problem is the representativeness of the respondents. For all we know from the survey only a significant percentage of the responds were over 70%; for that matter, perhaps the number of respondents was too low to ensure that they are typical of the work-at-home people. In addition, we are not informed how many the work-at-home people were surveyed but not respond. The greater this number, the less reliable the survey. Thus, lacking evidence of a sufficiently representive sample, I simply cannot accept the author's conclusion whatsoever.
Finally, the author indicates that Valu-Mart stores should increase both the stock of home office machines and stock of office supplies. Accordingly, the argument rests on the assumption that the work-at-home trend appears and climbs up frequently and that in the past the sale in the office-supply departments of Valu-Mart stores are impressive. Yet we are not informed whether the impressive sales are pertinent with the increasing trend. It is entirely possible that people who work at home prefer other stores selling home office machines and supplies what they need to the Valu-Mart stores; Its impressive sales were led by the reasons unmentioned in this memo. If this is the case, the recommendation would not serve the goal of the bussiness manager of the Valu-Mart stores that we should take advantage of this work-at-home trend by increasing at all Valu-Mart stores the stocks of home office machines and supplies in order to make most profits.
Overall, on the surface, the argument seems to be plausible, in fact, it is groundless and unconvincing as its stands. Not only does it leave out such key issues, but the evidence cited in the analysis does not lead strong support to the author claims. If the argument includes the given factors discussed above before any final decisions are made, it would have been more throughout and adequate |
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