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In this argument, the arguer states that to build a golf course and resort hotel is the best way to improve Hopewell's economy. At first glance, it seems plausible, but with scrutiny, this argument suffers from several fallacies which undermine the reasoning.
In the first place, the arguer fails to state the definite reason of the increasing of tourism ,tax revenues and business in Ocean View. Instead, he or she imputes these to the building of the new municipal golf course and resort hotel without any data or relative evidences. It is entire possible that other aspects, such as the improvement of local environment, or the efficient traffic, contribute to the flourish of Ocean View. In order to strengthen the reasoning, it is better for the arguer to provide the survey with the question like " why do you come to Ocean View(OV) for tourism?" and the like.
In the second place, even assuming that the golf course and resort hotel lead to the success of Ocean View, it does not certainly follow that what happened in OV will be repeated in Hopewell. In fact, the two town may be different at all-- in terms of salary, custom, environment and so on, thus the assumption is problematic. Put it simple, perhaps people in Ocean View have a relative decent salary, so they can afford the high price of playing golf, which help the golf course runs well. However, people in Hopewell may not afford the costs of playing golf so all the golf course's revenue relies on the tourism, which is unstable. Furthermore, what happened in OV is two years ago, perhaps now people have different interests, such as staying at home watching television with parents, or playing basketball, further weakening the reasoning.
Last but not least, the arguer states that to imitate the success of OV is the best way without addressing other methods. Logically speaking, this is a flaw. At least, the arguer should address other possible methods and make a comparison among them, and then could claim that building golf course is prior to other ways. Without such comparison, it is a bit too haste to argue the way is best.
In conclusion, the argument suffers from several fallacies. To strengthen the reasoning, the arguer should provide more evidences and data to support the reasoning. Without such support, the argument is unconvincing. |
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