Argument提纲1-20 =So What=小组第1次作业 by robotwish

robotwishUID: 2550184

1.

1.
No sufficient evidence to prove the profit comes from the area where concerned healthy. EI, perhaps not fit for P.
2.
Many? How many? The percentage? Sales of shoes and clothing cannot prove people concern healthy. Also cannot prove they will buy NW’s product. And no details of the product.
3.
Participating in health club does not mean they will buy the product. And the motivation of participating?
4.
The program may be not welcomed. Children have no money decision. Future unknown.
5.
The cost.


2.
1.
Color may be not the reason.
2.
EI, 7 years ago.
3.
EI, two different places.
4.
HG. Side influence. Welcomed? Perhaps people have to live there while actually don’t like the color rules.



3.
1.
What is job satisfaction? It is included salary.
2.
Survey dubious. Most? First-year? Leading law school.
3.
EI, no evidence to prove that the decline is caused by factors above. Perhaps other reasons. (Perhaps big firms did not want them but not they pick the firm.) Also the trend is not proved.
4.
Hasty generalization. More benefits equal to salary. Other things workers want?


4.
1.
The amount of agents stands for better service? Overlook the factor of house itself.
2.
High revenue does not mean selling well and fast.
3.
Author’s personal experience. EI, Time different. EI, two different house.
4.
Hasty generalization.


5.
1.
No evidence to prove other companies will produce X or the profit will decrease. New product
2.
EI, perhaps many years’ experience will help BP least cost. And the nameplate.
3.
The Xy is suspect. 7 of 10? Most extreme arthritis? Welcomed by the market?
4.
Other companies will be competitors


6.
1.
Dubious evidence to support the market in M is good. 100,000 are all citizens in M? live in M but may not play in M. ‘jazz nightly’ may not correlated to jazz music. EI jazz is popular in M, popular dose not stand for there is a good market. (perhaps very cheap and no profit)
2.
Spending 1,000 on jazz entertainment does not mean they want to spend it all in a club. False analogy. (M and nationwide)
3.
Non club in M cannot prove it is profitable. Perhaps the market is bad so there is no jazz club. No evidence to prove C Note can take all the market.


7.
1.
No evidence to prove current members are not protecting environment.
2.
The environmental problems are not convincing. More factories cannot prove more pollution, maybe take more profit. Perhaps other reasons caused pollution levels increasing and respiratory illnesses. EI, these are just last year’s.
3.
No evidence shows Ann Green will improve environmental problems. Lacking evidence to prove FB is better than AG on environment. Moreover, other candidates?
4.
EI, environment is not the only issue to elect mayor.



8.
1.
Dubious evidence of strong growth and 20% increase. small region and throughout the country.
2.
No evidence to prove that the profit of MF is created by DS. Other products. Trend problem.
3.
14-25 consumes snack food most? They will welcome DS? DS’s consumers? (maybe most are old people?)
4.
Hasty generalization and other choices. Problems after annexation.



9.
1.
No evidence shows that the inflation of grades causes the job unsuccessful. The benefit from the high score. (encourage the competition….)
2.
The advantages of two different universities. Even lacking whether another U has this evaluation. (nameplate, teachers…. Other factors)
3.
How to judge the success? Other reasons such as economy condition….
4.
Other measures.




10. The following appeared in a letter to the editor of a Batavia newspaper.

"The department of agriculture in Batavia reports that the number of dairy farms throughout the country is now 25 percent greater than it was 10 years ago. During this same time period, however, the price of milk at the local Excello Food Market has increased from $1.50 to over $3.00 per gallon. To prevent farmers from continuing to receive excessive profits on an apparently increased supply of milk, the Batavia government should begin to regulate retail milk prices. Such regulation is necessary to ensure both lower prices and an adequate supply of milk for consumers."

1.
More farms and price increasing cannot prove the profit is too high. Time different.
2.
Must to prevent?
3.
No evidence to prove that the price is too high and milk will be inadequate. EI, other measures.



11. The following appeared in a memo from the mayor of the town of West Egg.

"Two years ago, our consultants predicted that West Egg's landfill, which is used for garbage disposal, would be completely filled within five years. During the past two years, however, town residents have been recycling twice as much aluminum and paper as they did in previous years. Next month the amount of material recycled should further increase, since charges for garbage pickup will double. Furthermore, over ninety percent of the respondents to a recent survey said that they would do more recycling in the future. Because of our residents' strong commitment to recycling, the available space in our landfill should last for considerably longer than predicted."

1.
Lacking exactly amount. (twice) And the space situation now?
2.
Charge increasing cannot prove recycled amount increasing.
3.
The amount and details of the samples? Just respondents. They all workers? The will is not proved.



12. The following appeared in a memo from a vice president of Alta Manufacturing.

"During the past year, Alta Manufacturing had thirty percent more on-the-job accidents than nearby Panoply Industries, where the work shifts are one hour shorter than ours. Experts believe that a significant contributing factor in many on-the-job accidents is fatigue and sleep deprivation among workers. Therefore, to reduce the number of on-the-job accidents at Alta and thereby increase productivity, we should shorten each of our three work shifts by one hour so that our employees will get adequate amounts of sleep."

1.
The author assumes on the fatigue and sleep deprivation is the cause of more on-the-job accidents while lacking sufficient evidence to support it. (Other possibilities: equipment aging, working condition, worker’s skill and so forth.)
2.
Even if physical tiredness can be responsible for the count of on-the-job accidents, the vice president hastily assume that fewer working hours would let workers to have a rest or sleep more than before. (Perhaps workers use these hours to entertain, play, spree which on contrary enhance the fatigue. Moreover, one person’s work and rest regular is always unchangeable.)
3.
Even if more rest hours can make a contribution to reduce fatigue, the president’s recommence relies on what might be a poor analogy between Alta M and Panoply I. (The analogy falsely depends on the assumption that the condition in both AM and PI are similar while it is entirely possible not. Perhaps the working categories of the two companies are entirely disparate. eg: one is a design office while another is a construct company.)
4.
Finally, no evidence can clear that less on-the-job accidents will result in productivity increase. Actually the decrease of working hours will directly reduce the fertility which perhaps offsets even overrun the contribution made by the decline of on-the-job accidents.



13. The following appeared in a memo from the chief executive of a video game company.

"We have recently been offered the opportunity to buy the rights to produce a video game based on the soon-to-be-published children's book "Squirrel Power," by Peter Wood. While the cost of the rights is substantial and will place economic constraints on our company in the short-term, there are two reasons that the purchase of these rights will undoubtedly be a wise investment. First, Wood's last three books have been best sellers and the movie based on his first book was highly profitable. Second, the popular characters and story line in "Squirrel Power" will save us time in developing our video game, thereby reducing our costs."

1.
Just a book of children. The book is popular?
2.
Wood’s ever work cannot prove this story will be welcomed. The profit of the first book is not only result from W’’s book but also the movie company. Is the book fit for changing to a game?
3.
The SP’s popular is not clear. EI, the characters and story line seems no contribution to reducing cost. (cost comes from…….)



14. The following appeared in a memo from the owner of Green Thumb Gardening Center, a small business serving a suburban town.

"There is evidence that consumers are becoming more and more interested in growing their own vegetables. A national survey conducted last month indicated that many consumers were dissatisfied with the quality of fresh vegetables available in supermarkets. And locally, the gardening magazine Great Gardens has sold out at the Village News stand three months in a row. Thus, we at Green Thumb Gardening Center can increase our profits by greatly expanding the variety of vegetable seeds we stock for gardeners this coming spring."

1.
Non sequitur. Dissatisfied with vegetables in supermarkets not stands for willing to grown themselves. EI, FA between national area and suburban town.
2.
No details about Great Gardens. Perhaps just a magazine in how to grown flowers. EI, sold out maybe result from small amount. The amount of the consumers of the magazine.
3.
Hasty generalization. Why variety? No evidence or survey can prove people in this town will buy and grown vegetables.



15. The following appeared in a newsletter offering advice to investors.

"Over 80 percent of the respondents to a recent survey indicated a desire to reduce their intake of foods containing fats and cholesterol, and today low-fat products abound in many food stores. Since many of the food products currently marketed by Old Dairy Industries are high in fat and cholesterol, the company's sales are likely to diminish greatly and their profits will no doubt decrease. We therefore advise Old Dairy stockholders to sell their shares and other investors not to purchase stock in this company."

1.
The survey is not detailed. (amount? Respondents are all elders?)
2.
Indicated but not take actions. Maybe they cannot refuse the delicious foods. Other judgment standards. (price, taste, alimentation….)
3.
No certain correlation between abundant low-fat products and represent of Old Dairy. (The kind of low-fat products. Whether will attack Old Dairy’s market? Consumer must buy them?)
4.
Since many of the food products currently marketed by Old Dairy, perhaps it has a good nameplate. Maybe Old Dairy Industries have other products. Or perhaps it is the best time to invest Old Dairy. (now….after investing….)




16. The following appeared in a letter to the editor of a local newspaper from a citizen of the state of Impecunia.

"Two years ago our neighboring state, Lucria, began a state lottery to supplement tax revenues for education and public health. Today, Lucria spends more per pupil than we do, and Lucria's public health program treats far more people than our state's program does. If we were to establish a state lottery like the one in Lucria, the profits could be used to improve our educational system and public health program. The new lottery would doubtless be successful, because a survey conducted in our capital city concludes that citizens of Impecunia already spend an average of $50 per person per year on gambling."

1.
Pupil cannot stand for educational sample. The effect of the lottery in L? Trend? Maybe their health situation is not good.
2.
The lottery can take profit?
3.
Money used to gamble will change to lottery? The difference between lottery and gamble. People will like it?
4.
FA in two places. And other measures.



17. The following appeared in a letter to the editor of the Walnut Grove town newspaper.

"Walnut Grove's town council has advocated switching from EZ Disposal (which has had the contract for trash collection services in Walnut Grove for the past ten years) to ABC Waste, because EZ recently raised its monthly fee from $2,000 to $2,500 a month, whereas ABC's fee is still $2,000. But the town council is mistaken; we should continue using EZ. EZ collects trash twice a week, while ABC collects only once. Moreover, EZ-which, like ABC, currently has a fleet of 20 trucks-has ordered additional trucks. Finally, EZ provides exceptional service: 80 percent of respondents to last year's town survey agreed that they were 'satisfied' with EZ's performance."

1.
前提1，TC因为价格高不选EZ。（但是没有证据证明）
2.
前提2，EZ价格搞的有道理。（没有证明）No correlation between fee and quality. Lacking details of their serve.
3.
Trash more maybe because low sufficient. Trucks’ use. The kind, size of trucks.可能服务范围更广车忙不过来。 Lacking details. 80%, respondents only. Their real attitude. What is satisfied? Not particular.
4.
Satisfied 没有对比






18.
1.
The feasibility of change
2.
Why the old one is bad.
3.
FA
Increasing lane widths and ….lead to the accident reduce? Maybe other reasons. EI, past year and 5 years ago completed? Besides, maybe happened but not reported. EI, false analogy between two different places.



19. The following appeared in a letter from the manager of a rock band named Double Rice.

"One year ago, tickets for Double Rice's concerts in stadiums around the country took, on average, at least 24 hours to sell out, if they sold out at all. But the band has been enjoying a surge in nationwide popularity among 14 to 25 year olds, and the 30,000 tickets for a recent concert in Megalopolis sold out in 12 minutes. Clearly the ticket sales in Megalopolis are a result both of the band's increased popularity and of the advertising campaign run in Megalopolis by the Ad Lib advertising agency. Thus, in order to ensure that the band's success in Megalopolis is repeated across the country, the band should hire Ad Lib to duplicate the Megalopolis ad campaign on a nationwide scale."

1.
Average cannot stand for all. Other reasons. (system fault or limit of worker amount) The frequency? Maybe the first time in M. (so sold fast) one year ago? Trend?
2.
Popularity and ad successful are not proved. Other reasons.
3.
M and whole country. AdL’s serve? It can cover nationwide? Other choices?



20. The following appeared in a letter to the editor of the Balmer Island Gazette.

"The population of Balmer Island increases to 100,000 duing the summer months. To reduce the number of accidents involving mopeds and pedestrians, the town council of Balmer Island should limit the number of mopeds rented by each of the island's six moped and bicycle rental companies from 50 per day to 30 per day during the summer season. By limiting the number of rentals, the town council is sure to attain the 50 percent reduction in moped accidents that was achieved last year in the neighboring island of Torseau, when Torseau's town council enforced similar limits on moped rentals."

1.
More population leads to more accidents? Other reasons.
2.
The advantage of changing moped to bicycle is not proved. EI, 50 to 30 can make sense? Why only summer season?
3.
50% is not proved. Trend problem. Two different places. Other measures.