argument 45 TXT

smile_annieUID: 2689995

The following appeared as an editorial in a wildlife journal.

"Arctic deer live on islands in Canada's arctic region. They search for food by moving over ice from island to island during the course of a year. Their habitat is limited to areas warm enough to sustain the plants on which they feed, and cold enough, at least some of the year, for the ice to cover the sea separating the islands, allowing the deer to travel over it. Unfortunately, according to reports from local hunters, the deer populations are declining. Since these reports coincide with recent global warming trends that have caused the sea ice to melt, we can conclude that the decline in arctic deer populations is the result of deer being unable to follow their age-old migration patterns across the frozen sea."

In this argument, the arguer concludes that the declining population of a specific arctic deer is the result of deer being unable to follow their age-old migration patterns across the frozen sea. However, this conclusion is based on a deduction with several logic flaws.

First of all, the population of this arctic deer. In this argument, the arguer only mentions that according to reports from local hunters that the deer populations are declining. However, only based on repots from hunters can not convince us that this kind of deer is in declining. As we know, in bad weather, the deer may reduce their activities. Maybe the population of the deer is not declined at all. Because of the bad weather, the deer deduced their activities, thus the hunters could not see them. After all, the arguer does not provide any detail information about hunter's reports, like the period when they found this phenomenon, the place and others factors. It is also possible that because of cold weather, the arctic deer have crossed the sea through ice, and go to other islands to find food, as in this argument, the arguer mentions that when the ice appears, connecting the separating islands, it provide chance for the deer to travel over islands to find food. There is totally possibility that the population of the arctic deer is not declining. Thus, only the report from the hunter could not make us believe that the population of deer is declining.

Secondly, is it unfair to set up a causal relationship between the global warming trend and the declined population of the arctic deer. Even tough it is the fact that the
population of this arctic deer is declining, however, the global warming trends may not the main reason cause this decline, because the arguer does not mention any information that the global warming phenomenon have been appearing in this area. Because the world is so huge, it is possible that the global warming trend has not appeared in currently because of specific climate and geological condition in this place. Besides, there might be other factors resulting in the declining arctic deers, such as hunting, environmental problem, increased human activities and so on.
Thus, it is unfair for the arguer to rule out other factors that might cause the same result.


From what have discussed above, there are several flaws in this argument which make the conclusion unpersuasive. The arguer unreasonably to set up the cause and effect relation between the declining populations of arctic deer and the global warming trends. To make his argument more convincing, the arguer has to provide more data or research about the population of the deer. And the arguer also should consider other factors that might cause the declining population of the deer.

冬木琉璃UID: 2752392

In this argument, the arguer concludes that the declining population of a specific arctic deer is the result of deer being unable to follow their age-old migration patterns across the frozen sea. However, this conclusion is based on a deduction with several logic flaws.

First of all, the population of this arctic deer. In this argument, the arguer only mentions that according to reports from local hunters that the deer populations are declining. However, only based on reports from hunters can not convince us that this kind of deer is in declining. As we know, in bad weather, the deer may reduce their activities. Maybe the population of the deer is not declined at all. Because of the bad weather, the deer deduced their activities, thus the hunters could not see them. After all, the arguer does not provide any detail information about hunter's reports, like the period when they found this phenomenon, the place and others factors.（这句话可以放在下一个理由的后面 下一个也可以用这个概括嘛） It is also possible that because of cold weather, the arctic deer have crossed the sea through ice, and go to other islands to find food, as in this argument, the arguer mentions that when the ice appears, connecting the separating islands, it provide chance for the deer to travel over islands to find food. There is totally possibility that the population of the arctic deer is not declining. Thus, only the report from the hunter could not make us believe that the population of deer is declining.

Secondly, is it unfair to set up a causal relationship between the global warming trend and the declined population of the arctic deer. Even though it is the fact that the
population of this arctic deer is declining, however, the global warming trends may not be the main reason cause this decline, because the arguer does not mention any information that the global warming phenomenon have been appearing in this area. Because the world is so huge, it is possible that the global warming trend has not appeared in currently because of specific climate and geological condition in this place. Besides, there might be other factors resulting in the declining arctic deers, such as hunting, environmental problem, increased human activities and so on.
Thus, it is unfair for the arguer to rule out other factors that might cause the same result.


From what have discussed above, there are several flaws in this argument which make the conclusion unpersuasive. The arguer unreasonably to set up the cause and effect relation between the declining populations of arctic deer and the global warming trends. To make his argument more convincing, the arguer has to provide more data or research about the population of the deer. And the arguer also should consider other factors that might cause the declining population of the deer.

其实普遍来说最好至少提出三个逻辑错误  但是你对每个错误分析这么深入 应该也是可以的 但是如果有时间的话 还是觉得三个比较保险哈

恩 这种写作argument方法值得学习
不过我是可望不可即啊~呵呵 我不靠模板三十分钟写不出一篇文章