Argument提纲 =So What=小组第2次作业 by xwlove

xwloveUID: 2481588

21The following appeared in a memo from the new vice president of Sartorian, a company that manufactures men's clothing.
"Five years ago, at a time when we had difficulties in obtaining reliable supplies of high-quality wool fabric, we discontinued production of our deluxe alpaca overcoats. Now that we have a new fabric supplier, we should resume production. This coat should sell very well: since we have not offered an alpaca overcoat for five years and since our major competitor no longer makes an alpaca overcoat, there will be pent-up customer demand. Also, since the price of most types of clothing has risen in each of the past five years, customers should be willing to pay significantly higher prices for alpaca overcoats than they did five years ago, and our company profits will increase."
1 Although the major competitor no longer makes an alpaca overcoat, that doesn't guarantee pent-up customer demand.
2 Although most types of clothing has risen in each of the past five years, that doesn't guarantee customers are willing to pay  higher prices for alpaca overcoats than they did five years ago
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22 The following appeared in a memo from the president of a company that builds and sells new homes in Steel City.
"Over the past five years, the population of Steel City has increased by more than 20 percent, and family incomes in Steel City have risen much faster than the national average. Nationwide, sales of houses priced above $150,000 have increased more than have sales of lower-priced houses. Such data indicate that we should make changes in our business to increase company profits. First, we should build fewer low-priced houses than we did last year and focus instead on building houses designed to sell at above $150,000.Second, we should hire additional workers so that we can build a larger total number of houses than we did last year."
1 尽管Steel City人口增长，收入增长比全国平均水平快，但是住房需求的影响因素非常多，住房需求不一定会增加，因此不一定有必要增加住房供应量。
2 尽管国家数据显示价格高于$150,000的住房销售增长比lower-priced houses快，但是Steel City不一定是这样的情况，利润不一定增长。
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23 A recent sales study indicated that consumption of seafood dishes in Bay City restaurants has increased by 30 percent over the past five years. Yet there are no currently operating city restaurants that specialize in seafood. Moreover, the majority of families in Bay City are two-income families, and a nationwide study has shown that such families eat significantly fewer home-cooked meals than they did a decade ago but at the same time express more concern about eating healthily.Therefore, a new Bay City restaurant specializing in seafood will be quite popular and profitable.
1 尽管没有专业的seafood酒店，可能现有酒店足以提供seafood消费；
2 全国调查不一定代表Bay City情况；
3 即使全国调查情况适于Bay City，eat significantly fewer home-cooked meals和express more concern about eating healthily也不一定说明seafood消费增长。

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24The following appeared in a memo from the president of Viva-Tech, a manufacturer of high-tech medical equipment.
"In order to reduce costs, we should close some of our existing small assembly plants and build a large central plant.Grandview would be an ideal location for this new plant.First, of the locations that we have considered, Grandview has the largest adult population, so that we will be able to staff our plant quickly and easily. Second, since the average wage earned by workers in Grandview is less than that in the other locations, we should be able to keep production costs low. Last, as an inducement for us to build there, Grandview's town council has offered to allow us to operate for the first three years without paying city taxes."
成年人口最多不一定是劳动人口最多。

Grandview的平均工资低并不代表医疗器械制造工人的工资低；
生产成本不仅仅由工人工资决定；
尽管前三年免税，三年之后的税收政策并不清楚，总体上是否能够节省成本也就不得而知。

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25The following appeared in a memo from the mayor of the town of Hopewell.
"Two years ago, the town of Ocean View built a new municipal golf course and resort hotel. During the past two years, tourism in Ocean View has increased, new businesses have opened there, and Ocean View's tax revenues have risen by 30 percent. The best way to improve Hopewell's economy, and generate additional tax revenues, is to build a golf course and resort hotel similar to those in Ocean View."
1 Ocean View旅游增长不一定是由于golf course and resort hotel；
2 旅游增长不一定是Ocean View税收收入增加的主要原因；
3 Hopewell与Ocean View情况不一定相同，Ocean View的政策不一定适用于Hopewell。
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26The following appeared in a memo from the chairperson of the school board in the town of Saluda.
"For the past five years, Mr. Charles Schade has been the music director at Steel City High School, and during that time the school band from Steel City High has won three regional band competitions.
In addition, the quality of the music rehearsal facilities and musical instruments at Steel City High has improved markedly over the past five years.
Because of such successes at Steel City High, the Saluda school board should hire Mr. Schade to plan and direct the general music education programs for the entire Saluda school system."
1 For the past five years,Steel City High has won three regional band competitions，这种成功是偶然还是必然不清楚；
2 The improvement of the quality of the music rehearsal facilities and musical instruments at Steel City High is not necessarily due to Charles Schade.
3 Steel City High School与Saluda school的情况并不一定相同，Charles Schade不一定适合在Saluda school工作。
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27The following appeared as part of a memo from the president of Automate, a company that manufactures automobiles.
"It has come to my attention that Sparks, Inc., the manufacturing company that just moved into our state, is advertising job openings at salaries that are twice as high as those paid to our experienced assembly-line workers. Some of our employees have already left to work for Sparks.In order to keep our best staff, we must pay them salaries equal to those Sparks pays its employees. Otherwise we will continue to lose employees in the future, because Sparks must staff the additional new plants that it plans to build in the state."

1 Automate员工离职去Sparks工作不一定是因为工资的原因；工作条件、工作环境、工作时间会存在差别；
2 即使员工因为工资跳槽，Sparks招募员工不一定影响Automate所有员工，Sparks仅对experienced assembly-line workers给予两倍工资；
3 想吸引和留住人才，不一定仅有涨工资的办法。
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28The following is a memo from the superintendent of the Mylar school district.
"A recent six-month study, in which breakfast was made available at school for 100 schoolchildren ages five to twelve, found that children on the breakfast plan were less likely than other children to be absent from or late for school. Clearly, eating breakfast before school plays a role in reducing student absenteeism and tardiness.It is also well known that children who regularly eat a healthful breakfast tend to perform better in school.Therefore, in order to reduce absenteeism and tardiness and to improve academic performance in all of Mylar's elementary and secondary schools, we should provide breakfasts for all students before each school day."
1 调查不足信，样本量太少，取样不一定随机
2 Children who regularly eat a healthful breakfast tend to perform better in school？强词夺理。.
3 强行因果关系；即使存在children on the breakfast plan were less likely than other children to be absent from or late for school这一现象，也不能说明breakfast plan 是reduce absenteeism and tardiness 和improve academic performance的原因和手段。
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29When Ida McAllister ran for mayor of Lake City four years ago, she failed to win even 30 percent of the vote.
But since then, McAllister has made public her commitment to environmental causes. She would be wise, therefore, to announce her intention to close all Lake City parks to automobile traffic, thus following the example of the former mayor of Plainsville, Alecia Yu .On the recommendation of a small group of concerned citizens, Mayor Yu prohibited automobile traffic in all Plainsville parks, and therefore was credited with solving the pollution problem and improving the quality of life in Plainsville. This action would have great appeal to the citizens of Lake City, most of whom participate in the community's recycling program, and would guarantee McAllister's success in her current quest to be Lake City's new mayor.
1 选民不一定会只关注McAllister的环境政策，当选成功由众多因素决定；
2 McAllister照搬Alecia Yu的经验不一定成功当选市长，有其他很多解决环境污染的办法；
3 选民大多participate in the community's recycling program，这并不一定说明限制 Plainsville parks的汽车出入会 have great appeal to the citizens of Lake City
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30 According to information recently reported in the Eliottown Gazette, the number of people who travel to Eliottown has increased significantly over the past several years.
So far this year over 100,000 people have arrived on flights to Eliottown's airport, compared with only 80,000 last year and 40,000 the year before.Eliottown's train station has received more than 50,000 passengers this year, compared with less than 40,000 last year and 20,000 the year before.Clearly tourism in Eliottown has been increasing, thanks to the new Central Park and Museum of Modern Art that opened last year. Therefore, the funding for the park and museum should be increased significantly.
1 尽管the number of people who travel to Eliottown has increased，但从数据来看，不一定是significantly；
2 到Eliottown的人增加也不一定是因为new Central Park and Museum of Modern Art的开放；
3 旅游增长也不一定要增加经费