Argument168 By WDI小组 snail

snail8843UID: 2516929

Merely based on insufficient evidence and suspicious assumptions, the author concludes that taking the recommended dose of vitamin D and calcium daily is the most effective way to reduce the risk of fractures in later life. In order to strengthen the conclusion, the author cites the result of a recent study including a group of French women, who were gave the medicine according to the way mentioned above. However, there are some flaws in the argument.

First of all, the way adapted by researchers is insufficient to substantiate that this way is effective in reducing risk of fractures of these women in following aspects. First, the author fails to provide us that what conditions of health the women are. Perhaps these women are stronger than the people of same age. If so, the function of this way is suspicious. Secondly, a much lower rate of hip fractures does not mean a much lower rate of fractures of other regions. It is entirely possible that these women show a higher rate of risk such as- fracture of leg than the other old people. Thirdly, even if the foregoing two assumptions can come to existence, the author fails to establish a causal relationship between the strategy and the low rate of fractures. It is entirely possible that the low rate of fractures is attributable to some other factors such as- the participation of a light weightlifting program. Without considering these possibilities, the effectiveness of the way is unconvincing.

Secondly, even if the foregoing assumptions can be well supported, the way might cannot benefit all the aged. The study only includes the women who are from French and nursing-home residents. It is apparent that this kind of women cannot represent all other old people. Perhaps men cannot absorb vitamin D and calcium as well as women. Or perhaps for the reason of gene or climate, the way is more effective for French women than for old people from other countries. In these circumstances, the effectiveness of the way in all old people is unpersuasive.

Finally, even if the foregoing assumption can come to existence, the author fails to prove that this way is the most effective way.
Perhaps some other ways-such as striking a balance between physical exercise and medicine, is also effective in reducing the risk of fractures. Without a comparison between the way and other ways, I cannot be conceived that this way is the most effective.

In sum, the author's conclusion is unpersuasive in some aspects. In order to strengthen the conclusion, the author must provide me sufficient evidence to substantiate the effectiveness of the way in reducing risk of fractures of all the aged. In addition, the author must make a comparison between the way and other ways to conclude that this way is the most effective.

bloodbobUID: 2627007

Merely based on insufficient evidence and suspicious assumptions, the author concludes that taking the recommended dose of vitamin D and calcium daily is the most effective way to reduce the risk of fractures in later life. In order to strengthen the conclusion, the author cites the result of a recent study including a group of French women, who were gave（given） the medicine according to the way mentioned above. However, there are some flaws in the argument.

First of all, the way adapted by researchers is insufficient to substantiate that this way is effective in reducing risk of fractures of these women in following aspects. First, the author fails to provide us that what conditions of health the women are. Perhaps these women are stronger than the people of same age. If so, the function of this way is suspicious. Secondly, a much lower rate of hip fractures does not mean a much lower rate of fractures of other regions. It is entirely possible that these women show a higher rate of risk such as- fracture of leg than the other old people. Thirdly, even if the foregoing two assumptions can come to existence, the author fails to establish a causal relationship between the strategy and the low rate of fractures. It is entirely possible that the low rate of fractures is attributable to some other factors such as- the participation of a light weightlifting program. Without considering these possibilities, the effectiveness of the way is unconvincing.

Secondly, even if the foregoing assumptions can be well supported, the way might cannot benefit all the aged. The study only includes the women who are from French and nursing-home residents. It is apparent that this kind of women cannot represent all other old people. Perhaps men cannot absorb vitamin D and calcium as well as women. Or perhaps for the reason of gene or climate, the way is more effective for French women than for old people from other countries. In these circumstances, the effectiveness of the way in all old people is unpersuasive.

Finally, even if the foregoing assumption can come to existence, the author fails to prove that this way is the most effective way. Perhaps some other ways-such as striking a balance between physical exercise and medicine, is also effective in reducing the risk of fractures. Without a comparison between the way and other ways, I cannot be conceived that this way is the most effective.

In sum, the author's conclusion is unpersuasive in some aspects. In order to strengthen the conclusion, the author must provide me sufficient evidence to substantiate the effectiveness of the way in reducing risk of fractures of all the aged. In addition, the author must make a comparison between the way and other ways to conclude that this way is the most effective.

几乎囊括所以可能的flaws,反驳也具体，有例证。分析的有条理，先后针对调查的样本、实施过程; 结论的广泛性质疑。最后提出其他建议（combine physical exercise & medicine treatment）。本人无可挑剔，建议挂出去让斑竹评阅。

lucarlUID: 2616426

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