TOPIC: ARGUMENT220 - The following appeared in an article in a magazine for writers. "A recent study showed that in describing a typical day's conversation, people make an average of 23 references to watching television and only 1 reference to reading fiction. This result suggests that, compared with the television industry, the publishing and bookselling industries are likely to decline in profitability. Therefore, people who wish to have careers as writers should acquire training and experience in writing for television rather than for print media." WORDS: 381 TIME: 0:30:00 DATE: 2007-3-20 The arguer makes a conclusion that writers should acquire training and experience in writing for television rather than for print media. This conclusion is based on a recent study that people's conversation references 23 times television and 1 time fiction. As discussing below, the argument suffers from several flaws and therefore is unpersuasive. From the first place, the arguer fails to consider about the characters of television and fiction. As the television programs is newest and broadest, such as the new-reports, which includes the controversy or issue that easy for people to discuss in their daily life. Moreover the television's vivid pictures and sound is more attractive than the fiction for people. But this just means that people used to pay more attention on the programs of television, rather than they would like to ignore the pleasure of reading fiction. The arguer claims that people prefer television to fiction is based on empirical evidence. From the second place, there is no evidence suggesting that the publishing and bookselling industries will decline in profitability, compared with the television industry. Unless the argument can provide the evidences that, such as , the quantity of the sell-out books has decreased in sharp, or the complains of the readers are much more than before, it seems unwarranted to conclude that the former will decline in profitability. Further, even if the former will decline in the economical depression or some other situations, it is entire possible that the latter will decline as the same or even worse than the former. So without considering about these alternative factors, the conclusion is not persuasive as it stands Last but not the least, the arguer treats fiction as print media. Granted that people prefer watching TV to reading fiction, it is not equal to people like the biography, another kind book of print media, more than television programs. The arguer fails to rule out the other kinds of print media besides the fiction, thus it is not strong enough to support the conclusion. In sum, any decision aimed at addressing the problem of writers should acquire training and experience in writing for television rather than for print media must be based on more thorough investigation to gather sufficient dada to narrow down the actual causes of the problem. |