The following is a letter to the editor of the Waymarsh Times.”
“Traffic here in Waymarsh is becoming a problem. Although just three
years ago a state traffic survey showed that the typical driving commuter
took 20 minutes to get to work, the commute now takes closer to 40
minutes, according to the survey just completed. Members of the town
council already have suggested more road building to address the
problem, but as well as being expensive, the new construction will surely
disrupt some of our residential neighborhoods. It would be better to
follow the example of the nearby city of Garville. Last year Garville
implemented a policy that rewards people who share rides to work, giving
them coupons for free gas. Pollution levels in Garville have dropped since
the policy was implemented, and people from Garville tell me that
commuting times have fallen considerably. There is no reason why a
policy like Garville’s shouldn’t work equally well in Waymarsh.”
“Write a response in which you discuss what specific evidence is needed
to evaluate the argument and explain how the evidence would weaken or
strengthen the argument.”;
In this argument the author comes to conclusion that traffic in Waymarsh should follow the the nearby city of Garville,
thus their traffic problem will be better solved . To justify this, the author points out that a survey donducted three years ago showed that the driving commuter took much longer than before, and this problem have not been soleved (solved)
well because the town council' suggestion on building more roads cost much and will interupt (interrupt) some residential neighborhoods. And author also cites that the nearby city Garville carry on a new policy last year was good for their own city which implented (implemented)
a policy that rewards people sharing rides to work and gives them coupons for free gas. Close scrutiny in this argument reveals that it is unconvincing is several aspects and need more detailed evidence to support it.
In the first place, the survey must be showed to be reliable before the author reached the conclusion based on it. However the author fails to give any clear information about whether the responses are accurate or the respondents are statistically significant in number. Also, the survey which conducted three year ago is insufficient enough to reflect the overall current issues.
In addition, the arguer unfairly claims that in Garville, the lower pollution level and shorter commuting times is the result of the policy rewarding people who share rides to work and giving the coupons for free gas, rather than any other phenomenon. It is emperative (imperative)
for the author to give more evidence to show that other factors have been considered and eliminated such as the Garville's population, the driving condition, the distance between the working and doing and the weather condition and so on.
Finally, even assuming that the improvement is attributed to the policy carried by Garville, the author commits another analogy in assuming by the same means Waymarsh city will achieve the same result as Garville does. The author must consider possible differences between two cities which might help to bring about different results if wants this conclusion to be more evident. Do two cities have the same road condition or the same population for driving? What if the industries are much more in Waymarsh than that of Garville, which continue to cause serious pollution to the city? To strengthen the argument, the author should answer these questions comprehensively.
In sum, the conclusion reached in this argument is invalid and misleading. To make it logically accepted, the arguer would have to substantiate that the states in the survey is reliable and representative or that the survey result remains unchanged during one year. There still suspend the judgment until the author can provide more information about the two cities in different aspects so that by following the method Garville carried, Waymarsh city will achieve the same success as Garville does.
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