TOPIC: ARGUMENT2 - The following appeared in a letter sent by a committee of homeowners from the Deerhaven Acres to all homeowners in Deerhaven Acres.
"Seven years ago, homeowners in nearby Brookville community adopted a set of restrictions on how the community's yards should be landscaped and what colors the exteriors of homes should be painted. Since then, average property values have tripled in Brookville. In order to raise property values in Deerhaven Acres, we should adopt our own set of restrictions on landscaping and housepainting."
WORDS: 338 TIME: 00:30:00 DATE: 2007-8-10 15:17:27
Outline: 1.设立规定与房价上涨无因果关系;
2.适用于BC不代表适用于DA
3.七年之前有效不代表现在有效
4.未排除他因
In this argument, the author claims that Deerhaven Acres (DA) should set up a series of regulations as Brookville community(BC) did seven years ago to raise the property values in DA. There are several flaws in the author's line of reasoning.
To begin with, the author based his claim on the assumption that adopting the restrictions to the community's yard and the appearance of the homes is the cause of the property values increase. However, it is not necessarily the case. For example, if the economy there is developing and the community's traffic is improved, it would attract more purchasers and in turn the price go up. Without more detailed information, it is highly susceptive that setting regulations would help to raise the property values.
Secondly, the author assumes that the set of restrictions established in BC is also applicable to DA. But it is quite possible that there are many differences between the two communities which outweigh the surface similarities and result in the different effect in DA.
Thirdly, the author commits a fallacy "All things are equal". Even tough it is granted that it is the regulations of BC promoted the value and also suitable to DA, it just happened seven years ago which is a long span in which so many changes could come out. People seven years later might not like the regulations that makes all the houses look the same and they prefer distinct appearance. In this case, the author's recommendation would amount to poor advice.
Finally, the author provide no evidence that no other factors would influence the property's value, such as macro economy, the traffic conditions, which are as likely to undermine the property value.
To sum up, this argument is unconvincing. To support the claim, the author need to provide more evidence and information about the effect of the effect of restrictions in BC and prove that it also generate the same effect in DA. In addition, the author should rule out other possible factors in determining the price of DA.
In this argument, the author claims that Deerhaven Acres (DA) should set up a series of regulations as Brookville community(BC) did seven years ago to raise the property values in DA. There are several flaws in the author's line of reasoning.To begin with, the author based his claim on the assumption that adopting the restrictions to the community's yard and the appearance of the homes is the cause of the property values increase(increasing). However, it is not necessarily the case. For example, if the economy there is developing and the community's traffic is improved, it would attract more purchasers and in turn the price(may)go up. Without more detailed information, it is highly susceptive(suspectable吧) that setting regulations would help to raise the property values. Secondly, the author assumes that the set of restrictions established in BC is also applicable to DA. But it is quite possible that there are many differences between the two communities which outweigh the surface similarities and result in the different effect in DA. Thirdly, the author commits a fallacy "All things are equal". Even tough it is granted that it is the regulations of BC promoted the value and also suitable to DA, it just happened seven years ago which is a long span in which(两个which,前一个用that吧) so many changes could come out. People seven years later might not like the regulations that makes(make) all the houses look the same and they prefer distinct appearance. In this case, the author's recommendation would amount to poor advice.Finally, the author provide no evidence that no other factors would influence the property's value, such as macro economy, the traffic conditions, which are as likely to undermine the property value.To sum up, this argument is unconvincing. To support the claim, the author need to provide more evidence and information about the effect of the effect of restrictions in BC and prove that it also generate the same effect in DA. In addition, the author should rule out other possible factors in determining the price of DA.