ARGUMENT67第一次写argu求拍~灰常感谢先！

zy0921UID: 2738668

67 The following appeared in a letter to the editor ofa newspaper serving the villages of Castorville and Polluxton.

"Both the villages of Castorville and Polluxton have experienced sharp declines in the numbers of residents who pay property taxes. To save money and improve service, the two villages recently merged their once separate garbage collection departments into a single department located in Castorville, and the new department has reported few complaints about its service. Last year the library in Polluxton had 20 percent fewer users than during the previous year.It follows that we should now further economize and improve service, as we did with garbage collection, by closing the library in Polluxton and using the library in Castorville to serve both villages."

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WORDS:521
TIME: 00:33:27
DATE: 03/01/2010 12:13:26

提纲：

1. few people complain does not imply the merger is successful

2. false analogy

3, last year may not be representative

In this argument, the arguer advocates that the villages of Castorville(C) and Polluxton(P) should merge their libraries into one in order to economize and improve service. To substantiate the proposal, the arguer cites the evidence of merger of garbage collection which receives no complaints. In addition, the arguer reasons that the usage of library of P had decreased in the last year.Although the notion seems to have merit at first glance, a careful examination of the supporting evidences, however, reveal how groundless the conclusion is.

First and fundamentally,the arguer does not provide complete information concerning whether the merger of garbage collection is successful. The arguer only informs that the new department has reported few complaints about the service. However, there may be cases of complaining which were not reported by the department in order to give a false sense of success of the merger. Even if all the cases were reported, it does not imply that people are satisfied with the merger. Perhaps people feel to troublesome to report, or the new department is too far away that people are lazy to go. For lack of information of the people's view of the new garbage collection point, we can hardly conclude that the new garbage collection point is successful.

Secondly, a threshold problem is that even it is conceded that the previous merger is successful in terms of better service and economy, the arguer cannot falsely analogize that it is suitable to library. There are obvious differences between. Garbage collection is related to daily life, and thus there may be collection trucks travel ling around the two towns for convenience, people do not bother if the new collection point is remote.
However, people have to go to the library themselves and long distance may make them annoyed. Further, the new location of garbage collection point in C does not imply that the merged library should also in C; it is entirely possible that the library in P is better in condition. In short, before deciding to duplicate garbage collection's experience,the arguer should take the differences into account and make careful study of the two cases.

Last but not the least, the arguer unfairly assume that the decline of user of library in P will continue in the future, which is open to doubt. Perhaps the weather last was unconventionally cold so that people were not willing to go out. Perhaps there was natural disaster like drought or economic crisis happening in P which caused people busy making a live. Or perhaps, there were more popular and interesting TV series last year attracted away from books. Without taking into account all these factors, I simply cannot be swayed that the decline will remain unchanged in the future.

To sum up,the conclusion lack credibility because the evidences cited in the analysis does not lend strong support to what the arguer maintains, as well as the false analogy is doubtful. The solidify the argument, the arguer should provide more evidence concerning the result of merger of garbage collection point and more convincing reasons why the new merger of library should happen.