Dec 2005; 1/23

lily88888UID: 2828533

23. Statistical analysis is a common tool for explanation in

the physical sciences. It can only be used, however, to

explain events that can be replicated to the last detail.

Since human mental events never precisely recur, .

statistical analysis cannot be employed to explain these

events. Therefore, they cannot be explained by the

physical sciences.

Which one of the following arguments is most similar

inAflawed reasoning to the argument above?

.

(A) Computer modeling is used to try to explain the

way in which wind resistance affects the

' movement of bicycles. To use computer

modeling, the phenomenon being modeled

must be predictable. But wind resistance is not

predictable. Therefore, the way in which wind

resistance affects the movement of bicycles

cannot be explained by computer modeling.

(B) The only way to explain how music affects the

emotional state of a person is to appeal to the

psychology of emotion. The psychology of

emotion can be applied only to cases involving

human beings. But not all music is created by

human beings; some music is computer

generated. Therefore, the way in which music

affects the emotional state of a person cannot be explained.

(C) The best way to explain why an object has a

particular color is in terms of the interaction of

light and matter. It is sometimes impossible to

find out what kind of matter constitutes an

object. Therefore, the color of such objects has

nothing to do with the interaction of light and

matter.

(D) To determine which explanation of the origin of

the universe is correct, we would need to know

about the first moments of the existence of the

universe. Due to the immense time that has

passed since the universe began, it is

impossible to get such information. Therefore,

none of the explanations of the origin of the

universe is likely to be correct.

(E) A good way to explain historical events is to

construct a coherent narrative about those

events. In order to construct such a narrative, a

great many details about the events must be

known. Virtually no details can be known of

certain very ancient historical events.

Therefore, no historical explanation can be

given for these events.

duijinxiaoziUID: 2585955

Statistical analysis is a common tool for explanation in the physical sciences.
由 Statistical analysis （physical sciences 其中之一的 tool）不能解释，推出 整个physical sciences 不能解释。
以偏概全。