Argument 51

短发mmUID: 2840480

argument51

==========================
The following appeared in a medical newsletter.
"Doctors have long suspected that secondary infections may keep some patients from healing quickly after severe muscle strain. This hypothesis has now been proved by preliminary results of a study of two groups of patients. The first group of patients, all being treated for muscle injuries by Dr. Newland, a doctor who specializes in sports medicine, took antibiotics regularly throughout their treatment. Their recuperation time was, on average, 40 percent quicker than typically expected. Patients in the second group, all being treated by Dr. Alton, a general physician, were given sugar pills, although the patients believed they were taking antibiotics. Their average recuperation time was not significantly reduced. Therefore, all patients who are diagnosed with muscle strain would be well advised to take antibiotics as part of their treatment."
==========================


This argument was well-presented but not reasonable. With several logical flaws, this argument can not convince me so much.
To begin with, this hypothesis is based on the suspecting of doctors which is not necessarily true. Absent such evidence, that secondary infections will occur to the patients suffering from severe muscle strain. There is no proof present to support that secondary infections prefer the severe muscle strain. Maybe through well-break and some treatments, the rate of secondary infections in these patients is reduced. Even I accede that secondary infections has a high rate in those people, there are still many methods could be take into this treatment to decrease it. Maybe many effective methods are offered, secondary infections in the severe muscle strain have disappeared for a long time.
In addition, the mere study of two groups of patients can not persuade me. Because there are many differences between those two groups, which weaken its conviction. First, the first group of patients, all being treated for muscle injuries by the doctor who specializes in sports medicine, while another group was not. As we all know, to some extents, doctors major can help them become perfect in their special realm. Dr. Newland is more or less smart than Dr. Alton. Second, the arguer does not tell us more information such as age, gender, endurance of their bodies and so forth. It is presumptuous to judge the effective of antibiotics according to this unfair analogy. Maybe the first group is full of young man, the other group at the same time is filled with old ones. Maybe the patients in the first group are all men and in the other are all women.
What’s more, this argument can not draw the conclusion that all patients who are diagnosed with muscle strain would be well advised to take antibiotics as part of their treatment until all the anti-effects of antibiotics are got rid of. Maybe antibiotics is more harmful than useful. Maybe it likely brings another hard attack. There is no evidence or research show us that it can not cause heart ailment or high blood pressure which are more serious for our health. The conclusion determined on the basis lack of evidence is unreasonable.
In sum, doctors can not advice their patients to run the risk before they have 100% confidence of their treatments and recipes. And I disagree with this unconvincing argument.




字数401 严重超时30分钟