【WinTogether小组】第一次作业+轩子

Alex007911UID: 2872011

Argument 2

The following appeared in a letter sent by a committee of homeowners
from the Deerhaven Acres to all homeowners in Deerhaven Acres.

"Seven years ago, homeowners in nearby Brookville community adopted a set
of restrictions on how the community's yards should be landscaped and what
colors the exteriors of homes should be painted. Since then, average
property values have tripled in Brookville. In order to raise property
values in Deerhaven Acres, we should adopt our own set of restrictions on
landscaping and housepainting."

七年前，附近的Brookville社区的业主实施了一系列关于该社区的庭院应如何布置以及房屋应涂何种颜色的规定。从那以后，Brookville的地产平均价格翻了三番。为使Deerhaven
Acres的地产升值，我们也应该对于景观和房屋涂色实施自己的规定。

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1. The comparsion of the arguer between Bc. and DhAc.is selective and incomplete,we cannot find the correlation of homes’ property values and its locations or paintings;
2. No evidence apparently uphold the booming of home property values of Bc is just attached to landscape and painting colors,maybe other factor have positive influence on this thriving at Bc ;
3. The sample is not proper at period of time,namely,some trend or attitude of individuals toward home has been changed distinctly during
7 years;

Argument 6

The following was written as a part of an application for a small
business loan by a group of developers in the city of Monroe.

"A jazz music club in Monroe would be a tremendously profitable
enterprise. Currently, the nearest jazz club is 65 miles away; thus, our
proposed club, the C Note, would have the local market all to itself.
Plus, jazz is extremely popular in Monroe: over 100,000 people attended
Monroe's jazz festival last summer, several well-known jazz musicians live
in Monroe, and the highest-rated radio program in Monroe is 'Jazz
Nightly,' which airs every weeknight. Finally, a nationwide study
indicates that the typical jazz fan spends close to $1,000 per year on
jazz entertainment. It is clear that the C Note cannot help but make
money."

在Monroe建立爵士乐俱乐部将会是非常盈利的产业。当前，最近的爵士俱乐部也在65英里以外；因此，我们筹建的俱乐部C
Note将会占有全部的本地市场。而且，爵士乐在Monroe非常流行：去年夏天10万多人参加了Monroe的爵士音乐节，若干知名爵士音乐家居住在Monroe，Monroe获评价最高的广播节目是平时每天播出的Jazz
Nightly。最后，一项全国性研究表明典型的爵士爱好者每年花费近1000元用于爵士娱乐。显然C Note将会赚钱。

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1.    1.The assertion that arguer holds is partial to making profit but neglects other factors will affect the market of jazz;
2.
If there are better bands of jazz,qualified management and so forth,65 miles’ distance cannot keep folks simply from enjoying a superior entertainment of jazz;
3.    2. The sample is not much fit to Momroe(M) which indicated the trendency of the whole country,but not such a area like M.
4.    3. The highest-rated radio program canbe a hazard to the market of the C Note.Moreover,the majority of audience is not keen about jazz and only to pulling them out of the exhausting, do they not care what kind music ;

Argument 8

The following appeared in a memorandum issued by the strategic planning
department at Omni Inc.

"Mesa Foods, a manufacturer of snack foods that currently markets its
products within a relatively small region of the country, has strong
growth potential. Mesa enjoyed a 20 percent increase in profits last year,
and its best-selling product, Diabolique Salsa, has had increased sales
over each of the past three years. Since Omni Inc. is interested in
reaching 14-to-25 year olds, the age group that consumes the most snack
food, we should buy Mesa Foods, and concentrate in particular on marketing
Diabolique Salsa throughout the country."

Mesa
Foods，一家当前仅在本国相对较小区域销售其产品的快餐食品生产商，具有很强的增长潜力。去年Mesa的利润上升了20％，其最畅销产品Diabolique
Salsa连续三年销量增加。由于Omni Inc对14－25岁这一消费快餐食品最多的年龄群体感兴趣，我们应该收购Mesa
Foods，并集中力量在全国推广Diabolique Salsa。

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1.相对较小区域内的生产商Mesa Foods的效益良好，不一定在推广至全国后仍能如火如荼，这仅是作者的主观臆断；
2.产品Diabolique Salsa 不一定是14-25岁群体消费的主流产品，就算是消费快餐最多的年龄群体，但是不能保证这一群体的偏好和品位发生改变或转移；
3.Mesa Foods的效益如此之好，有可能是因为当地食品生产市场竞争力远小于其他地区的同比水平，或者是因为快餐行业刚刚兴起，也许经历较短周期后便会进入饱和衰退阶段；
4.Omni Inc的决策过于武断，
没有考虑到在收购后两家企业是否能融合，管理方式，运作模式等等因素都需要考虑；

Argument 16

The following appeared in a letter to the editor of a local newspaper
from a citizen of the state of Impecunia.

"Two years ago our neighboring state, Lucria, began a state lottery to
supplement tax revenues for education and public health. Today, Lucria
spends more per pupil than we do, and Lucria's public health program
treats far more people than our state's program does. If we were to
establish a state lottery like the one in Lucria, the profits could be
used to improve our educational system and public health program. The new
lottery would doubtless be successful, because a survey conducted in our
capital city concludes that citizens of Impecunia already spend an average
of $50 per person per year on gambling."

两年前我们相邻的州Lucria开展了州际彩票活动来增加用于教育和公共医疗的财政收入。现在，Lucria对于每个小学生的平均开支比我们多，Lucria的公共医疗体系接待的人数也比我们的多很多。如果我们也建立一套和Lucria类似的彩票系统，其盈利可以被用来改善我们的教育系统和公共医疗体系。新的彩票无疑会成功，因为在我们的首府举办的一次调查显示Impecuni的居民每人每年用于博彩的平均支出已经达到$50。


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1.Lecunia 和Impecunia两个州的情况不一定完全相同，在L州取得较好的成效不一定就可以再I州也有所成功，这与当地不同的文化和政府，以及经济形势等许多因素决定，所以这里的comparsion并不合适；
2.在capital city 的survey is selective，样本容量较小，不能说明整个州的情况，也许是因为他们的收入水平高于其他城市，并且对赌博业感兴趣，况且人们不一定选择一定要购买政府推出的彩票；
3.L州的教育系统和公共卫生项目的健全优化并不仅仅是因为L州政府推行彩票，也许是因为其他政策的实施或者是在其他方面做出了改进，比如增大政府投入，提高纳税人的税率，与其他州进行合作等；
4.I州政府不能保证推行彩票就一定能惠及于公共事业，没有具体可靠可行的政策，通过政府彩票盈利是有风险的。

Argument 21

The following appeared in a memo from the new vice president of
Sartorian, a company that manufactures men's clothing.

"Five years ago, at a time when we had difficulties in obtaining reliable
supplies of high-quality wool fabric, we discontinued production of our
deluxe alpaca overcoats. Now that we have a new fabric supplier, we should
resume production. This coat should sell very well: since we have not
offered an alpaca overcoat for five years and since our major competitor
no longer makes an alpaca overcoat, there will be pent-up customer demand.
Also, since the price of most types of clothing has risen in each of the
past five years, customers should be willing to pay significantly higher
prices for alpaca overcoats than they did five years ago, and our company
profits will increase."

五年前，当我们在获取可靠的高质量羊毛毛料的渠道方面存在困难的时候，我们停止了高档羊毛外衣的生产。现在有了新的毛料供应商，我们应该重新开始生产。这种外衣应该卖得很好：因为我们已经五年没有供应羊毛外衣了，而且由于我们的主要竞争对手已不再生产羊毛外衣，消费者将有很迫切的需求。而且，由于过去五年中多数种类的服装价格每年都在上涨，消费者应该愿意花比五年前高的多的价格购买羊毛外衣，从而我们公司的利润将会上升。


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1.作者臆断在过了五年以后消费者依然对alpaca有较大需求，但是有可能这五年中消费者的观念和兴趣已经有所改变；尽管对alpaca有需求，也会对这种服装停止生产抱有疑虑；
2.Company停止了生产是因为高质量原料的紧缺，而竞争对手也许是因为其他的原因，例如找到了新的服装并已占有一定市场该公司却不知情；
3.目前的羊毛的价格趋势并不为我们所知，所以不一定有消费者会选择alpaca，况且用higher price购买。

Argument 38

The following memo appeared in the newsletter of the West Meria Public
Health Council.

"An innovative treatment has come to our attention that promises to
significantly reduce absenteeism in our schools and workplaces. A study
reports that in nearby East Meria, where fish consumption is very high,
people visit the doctor only once or twice per year for the treatment of
colds. Clearly, eating a substantial amount of fish can prevent colds.
Since colds are the reason most frequently given for absences from school
and work, we recommend the daily use of Ichthaid, a nutritional supplement
derived from fish oil, as a good way to prevent colds and lower
absenteeism."

我们注意到一种保证可以显著减少学校和工作岗位的缺席的革新疗法。一项研究报告说在附近的East
Meria，鱼的消费量很高，那里的人们每年因为治感冒而去看医生的次数只有一或两次。显然，吃较大量的鱼可以预防感冒。由于感冒是学校和单位缺席的最常见原因，我们建议每天服用Ichthaid，一种从鱼油中提炼的营养物质，作为预防感冒和减少缺席率的有效措施。

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1.The comparsion between East Meria(EM) and West Meria(WM) is lack of rationality for the meature of reducing absenteeism,because many factors,such as region ,ulture and regulation of local schools and workplaces;
2.The absenteeism of WM may not attribute only to people having a cold;
3.The sample is incomplete and hardly convince that most people get a little few colds per year and only recover by fish diets;
4.The distinct differences beween fish and fish oil may not be neglected even WM’s folk intend to adopt this way to recover;
5.Giving rise to absentism not only is personal health condition like cold,at some time ,but also is a excuse for rest.


Argument 193
The Department of Education in the state of Attra recommends that high
school students be assigned homework every day. Yet a recent statewide
survey of high school math and science teachers calls the usefulness of
daily homework into question. In the district of Sanlee, 86 percent of the
teachers reported assigning homework three to five times a week, whereas
in the district of Marlee, less than 25 percent of the teachers reported
assigning homework three to five times a week. Yet the students in Marlee
earn better grades overall and are less likely to be required to repeat a
year of school than are the students in Sanlee. Therefore, all teachers in
our high schools should assign homework no more than twice a week, if at
all.

Attra州的教育部建议高中学生应该每天都被布置家庭作业。然而最近一项对于全州的数学和理化高中教师的调查却对每天布置家庭作业的作用提出了疑问。在Sanlee地区，86％的教师报告说他们每周布置3－5次家庭作业，而在Marlee地区，只有少于25％的教师报告说每周布置3－5次作业。而Marlee地区的学生综合成绩更好，而且比起Sanlee的学生更不容易留级。因此，我们高中的所有教师每周布置作业都不应该超过两次。

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1.两所学校类比不恰当，因为学校的教育质量取决去生源，师资以及其他因素，并不是看家庭作业布置情况；
2.Marlee的老师也许采用了其他的考查而取代了完成家庭作业的方式，所以这个调查也较selective;
3.家庭作业的次数也不能说明问题，因为还要考虑到作业的范围，难度等，因此作者臆断减少作业次数是不合理的.


Argument 206
The following appeared in a letter to the editor of the Parkville
Daily Newspaper.

"Throughout the country last year, as more and more children below the age
of nine participated in youth-league softball and soccer, over 80,000 of
these young players suffered injuries. When interviewed for a recent
study, youth-league softball players in several major cities also reported
psychological pressure from coaches and parents to win games. Furthermore,
education experts say that long practice sessions for these sports take
away time that could be used for academic activities. Since the
disadvantages apparently outweigh any advantages, we in Parkville should
discontinue organized athletic competition for children under nine."

去年在全国范围内，随着越来越多的9岁以下儿童参加少年棒球和足球比赛，有超过80000的少年选手受伤。在最近一次研究所作的采访中，很多大城市的少年棒球选手报告说存在来自教练和家长要求赢得比赛的心理压力。而且，教育专家指出这些运动项目长时间的训练占据了本应用于学习的时间。由于不利因素明显超过了有利因素，我们Parkville应该停止组织9岁以下儿童的体育比赛。

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1.The survey is not reliable due
its statistics just come from some major cities and softball and soccer cannot represent all the athletic competition;
2.The phenomenon is a result of survey throughout the whole country,it is not comparable for Parkville;
3.Even though the number of the injuries can clarify the fact
that they should discontinue the competition,it may be other aspects they shoud account to more efficiently such as what way they choose to compete,how often teenmagers should alleviate their pressure from inside;
4.The arguer fail to consider other factors incur to the injuries ,so saying disadvantage outweigh any advantage is unwarranted assumption.


Argument 209
The following recommendation was made by the Human Resources Manager
to the board of directors of the Fancy Toy Company.

"In the last three quarters of this year, under the leadership of our
president, Pat Salvo, our profits have fallen considerably. Thus, we
should ask for her resignation in return for a generous severance package.
In Pat's place, we should appoint Rosa Winnings. Rosa is currently
president of Starlight Jewelry, a company whose profits have increased
dramatically over the past several years. Although we will have to pay
Rosa twice the salary that Pat has been receiving, it will be well worth
it because we can soon expect our profits to increase considerably."

在今年的过去三个季度里，在我们总裁Pat Salvo的领导下，利润显著下降。因此，我们应该给予她优厚的补偿并要求她辞职。我们应该任命Rosa
Winnings来代替她的职位。Rosa当前是Starlight
Jewelry的总裁，这家公司的利润在过去几年中显著增长。尽管我们要付给Rosa两倍于我们付给Pat的工资，但这将是值得的因为我们马上可以看到利润的显著增长。

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1.两家不同的公司，不一定Rosa过来就职后一定能带来效益的增长，这是由公司所在的市场，运营的模式以及企业文化有关；
2.在三个季度中利润下滑，也许经济的大趋势都是depressive，所以完全归咎于总裁Pat是站不住脚的；况且有可能经济继续下滑，公司的现任总裁可以吸取教训来使利润增长，因为毕竟比新任的Rosa更了解公司的情况；
3.Starlight Jewelry的持续利润增长也许不是Rosa一个人的功劳，作者没有提供必要的证据，有可能是因为本来公司的运营环境良好，市场竞争力较小，员工整体技术水平较高等等。

第一次写，

有的尝试用英语，有的是中文~~积极拍砖~谢谢筒子们~加油！