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本帖最后由 couson 于 2011-2-1 15:28 编辑
好几天没些A, 手生了, 模板记得还不熟, 超时了呵呵,同志们快来拍
TOPIC: ARGUMENT51 - The following appeared in a medical newsletter.
"Doctors have long suspected that secondary infections may keep some patients from healing quickly after severe muscle strain. This hypothesis has now been proved by preliminary results of a study of two groups of patients. The first group of patients, all being treated for muscle injuries by Dr. Newland, a doctor who specializes in sports medicine, took antibiotics regularly throughout their treatment. Their recuperation time was, on average, 40 percent quicker than typically expected. Patients in the second group, all being treated by Dr. Alton, a general physician, were given sugar pills, although the patients believed they were taking antibiotics. Their average recuperation time was not significantly reduced. Therefore, all patients who are diagnosed with muscle strain would be well advised to take antibiotics as part of their treatment."
WORDS: 419
TIME: 00:35:00
DATE: 2011/2/1 14:59:44
In this argument the author comes to the conclusion that muscle-strain patients should take antibiotics in order to recover fast. To justify the claim, the author illustrates preliminary results of a study of two group of patients that one group has taken antibiotics during the muscle-strain treatment and the other has not. Close scrutiny of this argument has revealed that it is unconvincing in several aspects.
First of all, the author fails to provide no information about samples of the study which this argument is based on. We can not find out what kind of muscle strain did these patients conflict. Thus, we may not know if they have encountered secondary infections. If these patients haven't encountered secondary infections, the whole study would be meaningless. In addition, We can not find out what kind of physical situations are these patients in. Thus we may not know if patients of first group have healthier physical situations on average so they could recover fast than expected. What's more, without demonstrations on patients' physical situations, we are allowed to doubt the accuracy of calculation of expected recovering time.
Secondly, even assuming that the patients are in extremely similar situations physical and secondary infections, more information on the whole treatment process is needed. Since two groups of patients are treated by different doctors, so differences treatment processes may exist. As a specialist of sports medicine, Dr. Newland may involve some professional former treatment to reduce inner bleeding in muscle and special post-exercise to help muscle recovering faster than expected, while a general doctor may not involve. There could be the possibility that it is not taking antibiotics but other treatment processes and help the first group of patients to recover fast than expected.
Last but not the least, even if antibiotics did help patients recover from secondary
fast, the author still has conflicted a flaw as the author hastily conclude that muscle strain should take antibiotics from such assumption. Not all patients who have a severe muscle strains surly have encountered secondary infections. Also not all patients who have a muscle strain surly are in a severe situation. Without solid reasoning, the conclusion that muscle strain patients should take antibiotics is not cogent.
In sum, the conclusion reached in this argument is invalid and misleading. To make it logically acceptable, the author should carry out experiments on how antibiotics effect on patients who has encountered secondary infections during the treatments of muscle strain. Moreover, I would suspend my judgment about the credibility of this argument until the author carry out such experiment s on people of different physical situations.
附上提纲
逻辑线
(背) sec-inf有碍sev-ms的恢复
2组study of ms: 快40%( D.N special, anti), 无reduce(D.A general, no-anti)
ms都应该用anti
C ( ms ( ser-ms ( inf ( 其他因素anti ) ) ) )
提纲
1.(样品)两者人ms程度没有说
a)都是普通ms, 或者sev-ms但没有sec-inf, anti的作用没有意义
b)其次是本身身体情况没有, 预期康复时间的估计就不准确
2.(背景因素)两个医生的全部治疗
a)即使样品都sec-inf
b)医生不同治疗不同, 前期处理(sec-inf程度轻), 后期康复训练(sec-inf恢复快)都对实际康复时间有影响
3.(没有根据的类比)即使证明了sec-inf要服用了anti, 也不能 -> ms都要服用anti
a)不是所有ms都sev-ms
b)不是所有sev-ms都sec-if
潜在后果,厌恶治疗,滥用anti导致副作用.
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